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3516

亞帝歐 Optoelectronics As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 亞帝歐 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 42Quality 27Growth 75Momentum 79Chips 70

Is 亞帝歐 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 25th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.5%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 89th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 71th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.4% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 32.3%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.32
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • (牛牛牛)亞-網路 holds 314 lots
  • sellers have 392 lots left, ~28 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +41% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder (牛牛牛)亞-網路 has accumulated 314 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 台新-台中 peaked at 517 lots, has sold 51%, 253 left, ~10 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.43pp, mid holders -1, retail -0.18pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
(牛牛牛)亞-網路合庫證券富邦-竹北亞東臺銀-新竹台新-烏日
Distributing
台新-台中玉山-新莊元大-中壢台新台灣摩根士丹利華南永昌-三重
Desks
own scale
國泰-新莊凱基-士林國票-南崁法銀巴黎
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • (牛牛牛)亞-網路 +314
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 合庫證券 +233
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-竹北 +199
    sold 8%
  • 亞東 +149
    sold 21%
  • 臺銀-新竹 +143
    sold 0%
  • 台新-烏日 +130
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 台新-台中 253 left
    sold 51%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 玉山-新莊 76 left
    sold 32%· paused recently
  • 元大-中壢 59 left
    sold 39%· ~28 sessions to clear
  • 台新 36 left
    sold 60%· ~17 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 32 left
    sold 35%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-三重 18 left
    sold 58%· paused recently

Desks

  • 國泰-新莊 -473
    unclassified
  • 凱基-士林 -440
    unclassified
  • 國票-南崁 -208
    unclassified
  • 法銀巴黎 -119
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 392 lots ~28 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,113 absorbed / -330 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

14 historical occurrences (since 2009-12-09)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 13, Median +1.73%, Excess +3.9%, Beat mkt rate 38.5%；60-day: Win 50%, Sample 12, Median -0.54%, Excess -2.14%, Beat mkt rate 25%；120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 12, Median +4.46%, Excess -9.36%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%

120 days after: historical avg +3.09%

20-day +6.23%
60-day +4.77%
120-day +3.09%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.8%
50%
66.7%
Sample
13
12
12
Median
+1.73%
-0.54%
+4.46%
Excess
+3.9%
-2.14%
-9.36%
Beat mkt rate
38.5%
25%
16.7%

Over 12 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.09%, lagged the market by 9.36 pts; win rate 66.7%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 32.3%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

60 historical occurrences (since 2007-11-29)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50.9%, Sample 57, Median +0.32%, Excess -0.22%, Beat mkt rate 36.8%；60-day: Win 56.4%, Sample 55, Median +0.59%, Excess -2.63%, Beat mkt rate 34.5%；120-day: Win 48.1%, Sample 54, Median -0.16%, Excess -4.55%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120 days after: historical avg +0.52%

20-day +1.47%
60-day +1.77%
120-day +0.52%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50.9%
56.4%
48.1%
Sample
57
55
54
Median
+0.32%
+0.59%
-0.16%
Excess
-0.22%
-2.63%
-4.55%
Beat mkt rate
36.8%
34.5%
33.3%

Over 54 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 0.52%, lagged the market by 4.55 pts; win rate 48.1%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 99+15.6% +14.6% 100% -5.6%
20-40 178+34.8% +31% 99.4% +5.4%
40-60 183+30.6% +35.8% 79.2% -12.4%
60-80 You are here281-13.3% -16.2% 11.7% -41.2%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 96.55, at the 71.3th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+2.8%
Win rate 68.9% Excess -5.2%
119d
+20.4%
Win rate 90.6% Excess +3.4%
180d
Now
-3.1%
Win rate 33.2% Excess -15.7%
202d
60-day momentum down
+10.5%
Win rate 82.3% Excess -1%
62d
+8.6%
Win rate 62.1% Excess -18%
169d
-4.2%
Win rate 31.7% Excess -18.9%
123d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 202 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 3.1%, win rate 33.2%, lagged the market by 15.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.64%, win rate 38.5%, beating the market by -7.77 pts on average.

What does 亞帝歐 do? Company profile

光電業 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

3516 對應證券為亞帝歐光電股份有限公司，櫃買中心上櫃普通股，產業別為光電業。公司設立於 1991-11-29，股票於 2007-11-29 開始於櫃買中心掛牌交易；總部與主要營運據點位於桃園市八德區白鷺里廣福路858號。公開資料顯示董事長為廖書尉；2025/11/11 後總經理有異動，2025Q3 財報簽核經理人列為廖書尉，部分第三方資料仍列曾國瑞。2025/9/30 已發行股本為新台幣595,609千元，每股面額10元，約59,561千股；第三方整理之全球員工規模約400人，須視公司後續永續報告或年報更新。2024 年報揭露主要股東包括帝祥投資股份有限公司持股14.31%、帝興投資股份有限公司14.02%、鄭金鴻9.45%、歐淑卿7.54%、陳美蓮5.64%、廖書尉5.18%。主要子公司/投資包括 TUNG WING GROUP LIMITED、DELIGHT THRIVE INTERNATIONAL LIMITED、UNIMAX INVESTMENT SERVICES LIMITED、中帝控股有限公司、亞帝歐光電元件(蘇州)有限公司、亞帝歐光電科技(吳江)有限公司、帝太能源股份有限公司及歐宏光電股份有限公司；其中歐宏光電從事塑膠膜製造及銷售，帝太能源從事再生能源自用發電設備業。

Business

亞帝歐早期以連接器、插頭、電子零組件及照明產品之製造、加工、買賣為主，現已延伸至照明燈具、CABLE連接線、光學膜、塑膠射出、矽膠皮革與太陽能發電等。依 2025/11/28 法說會簡報與 2025Q3 財報，2025年前三季營收為新台幣693,283千元，產品別約為 CABLE連接線354,867千元、51.2%；照明產品228,002千元、32.9%；光學膜103,348千元、14.9%；太陽能發電7,066千元、1.0%。2024 全年法說資料顯示營業淨額約1,219,280千元，其中照明產品446,949千元、36.7%；CABLE連接線496,615千元、40.7%；光學膜267,316千元、21.9%；太陽能發電約8,400千元、0.7%。營運部門上，公司財報將其分為照明燈源及連接線部門、塑膠射出(PR)部門及能源發電部門；照明燈源及連接線部門負責照明燈源及連接線組裝與銷售，PR部門負責模內裝飾鑲嵌注塑產品生產製造，能源發電部門負責再生能源自用發電及熱能供應之生產與銷售。商業模式以接單製造、組裝銷售與子公司產品製造為主，客戶授信期間約出貨前收款至月結150天，應收帳款集中度高，2025Q3 前十大客戶應收款占比約79.62%。公司法說揭露客戶包括美國 Cooper 官方合作夥伴，並提及照明與 Cable 產品有美國/墨西哥出貨及貿易商客戶；其餘主要客戶未完整具名揭露。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年營運呈現壓力：前三季營收較2024年前三季880,087千元下降至693,283千元，主因公開法說摘要指出部分照明燈具受關稅貿易戰影響遞延，光學膜業務面臨同業競爭；同期間營業部門損益轉為虧損，照明燈源及連接線部門前三季虧損11,282千元，PR部門虧損2,820千元，能源發電部門獲利1,235千元。2026年成長動能主要來自兩項：一是歐宏光電新屋新廠，公開法說摘要稱預計2026年第二季取得使用執照、第四季試產，目標擴大光學膜產能並開發隔熱膜等功能性新產品；二是中國吳江廠有機硅膠皮革產線，主打無溶劑、可回收、不含甲醛/鄰苯/重金屬/偶氮等環保特性，目標應用於車用內裝、家具、醫療設備、鞋材、戶外用品等。2026年至2028年的中期展望取決於新屋廠量產良率、光學膜差異化產品導入速度、矽膠皮革取得車廠/家具/醫療客戶認證進度，以及照明與Cable既有客戶訂單回穩。公司短期目標為將毛利率由約15%附近提升至18%至20%，但這屬法說會目標而非保證。主要風險包括美國關稅與全球貿易政策變化、光學膜價格競爭、客戶集中度高、匯率波動、資本支出與新廠折舊壓力、矽膠皮革新材料市場開發期可能拉長、以及公司產品橫跨照明/Cable/光學膜/新材料導致資源配置與管理複雜度提高。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 泰創工程股份有限公司 2025Q3 財報列為其他關係人，並揭露亞帝歐持有其股票；可視為集團工程/設備或廠務相關關係企業之一，非台股掛牌。
  • 無錫泰創工業設備安裝有限公司 2025Q3 財報列為其他關係人，名稱顯示與工業設備安裝相關；非台股掛牌，公開資料未確認其是否為核心生產設備供應商。
  • 富采控股股份有限公司 3714 LED晶粒/封裝之台股上游代表公司；亞帝歐有照明產品業務，但未在公開資料中確認直接供應合約，列為產業上游參考。
  • 誠美材料科技股份有限公司 4960 偏光板/光學膜材料台股業者；亞帝歐子公司歐宏光電從事光學膜相關產品，未確認直接供應合約，列為光學膜產業上游/同業鏈參考。
Downstream
  • Cooper Lighting / Eaton 法說會簡報列示美國大廠 Cooper 官方合作夥伴；Eaton 為美國上市公司，非台股掛牌，屬照明產品下游客戶/品牌通路關係。
  • 台灣電力公司 能源發電部門從事再生能源自用發電及熱能供應；售電收入為營收項目之一，台電為台灣電力市場主要收購/電網角色，未上市。
  • 未揭露美國及墨西哥照明/Cable客戶 法說摘要提及部分燈具主要出貨地為墨西哥，另有美國客戶透過貿易公司交易；客戶名稱未完整揭露。
  • 車用、家具、醫療設備客戶 有機硅膠皮革目標市場，2026年起積極接洽車廠、家具廠及醫療設備應用；截至資料日未確認具名量產客戶。

Competitors

Sources（12）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.