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4582

聚恆-創 Green Energy & Environment As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 聚恆-創 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 66Quality 67Growth 93Chips 75

Is 聚恆-創 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 69th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.8%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 34th market percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 4.5% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 117.1%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.27
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 凱基-中壢 holds 552 lots
  • sellers have 258 lots left, ~120 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +8% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 凱基-中壢 has accumulated 552 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 233 lots, has sold 43%, 132 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -7.35pp, mid holders -1, retail +6.99pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -77 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
凱基-中壢永豐金-南京摩根大通台新元大-南屯統一-台南
Distributing
凱基-台北台灣摩根士丹利美林兆豐-忠孝元大-大灣台新-五權西
Desks
own scale
富邦-高雄統一-三多華南永昌-鳳山國票-彰化
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 凱基-中壢 +552
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金-南京 +300
    sold 0%
  • 摩根大通 +228
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新 +217
    sold 2%· still adding
  • 元大-南屯 +203
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 統一-台南 +179
    sold 8%

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 132 left
    sold 43%· paused recently
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 55 left
    sold 53%· paused recently
  • 美林 84 left
    sold 27%· paused recently
  • 兆豐-忠孝 58 left
    sold 49%· ~19 sessions to clear
  • 元大-大灣 47 left
    sold 51%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 台新-五權西 52 left
    sold 32%· ~25 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 富邦-高雄 -687
    unclassified
  • 統一-三多 -292
    unclassified
  • 華南永昌-鳳山 -260
    unclassified
  • 國票-彰化 -250
    unclassified
Still selling 258 lots ~120 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,608 absorbed / -163 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 117.07%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

2 historical occurrences (since 2026-05-22)

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

What does 聚恆-創 do? Company profile

綠能環保；太陽能光電系統整合、EPC、儲能工程、維運服務 臺灣證券交易所創新板上市

Overview

聚恆科技股份有限公司成立於1998年4月16日，總部位於臺南市永康區永科環路168號。公司於2019年8月29日公開發行，原為興櫃股票，因轉至臺灣證券交易所創新板上市，櫃買中心公告自2026年5月22日起終止興櫃交易；創新板上市掛牌日為2026年5月22日。實收資本額為新臺幣6.66億元，流通在外普通股66,600,000股。董事長為周恒豪，總經理為周曉艷。員工規模依113年年報為2024年底184人、2025年3月31日162人；工程技術團隊逾150人以上。主要股東（2025年4月22日）包括大亞創業投資11.27%、大亞電線電纜9.15%、穩德投資5.55%、大亞創新投資5.48%、周恒豪3.86%、漢寶農畜產企業3.03%、漢寶能源科技2.70%、慧聚福投資實業2.58%、承毅投資2.31%、翰可國際2.18%。公司與大亞集團有策略合作，持有大亞綠能15%股權，媒體報導稱可帶來長期投資收益並增加工程承攬機會。

Business

聚恆為臺灣較早投入太陽能光電系統工程的EPC業者之一，主要提供屋頂型太陽能光電系統、大型地面型再生能源電站之開發、設計、物料採購、建造、維運一條龍服務，也承作太陽能專用組件及應用產品、儲能工程建置、AFC儲能、光儲整合、EMS能源管理、充電站系統及維運服務。2024年營收結構依公司年報：EPC系統工程新臺幣8.49164億元、占92.05%；其他新臺幣0.73377億元、占7.95%；內銷占98.83%、外銷占1.17%。2026年4月媒體引述公司說法，2025年營收結構為太陽能工程統包EPC約85%、儲能工程服務約8%、維運服務約2%。公司累積超過600件屋頂型案件實績，地面型與屋頂型案件總建置容量突破350MW；截至2024年底年報揭露累積掛表總容量347MW，約占臺灣累積掛表容量2.4%。代表性案場包括心忠學甲太陽能電廠76MW及志光七股漁電共生案85MW。公司商業模式以專案型EPC工程收入為主，並逐步延伸至開發、維運、儲能、電力交易平台代操、電廠或綠能投資收益。主要客戶或業主依年報與重要合約包括志光能源、博斯太陽能、崴曼科技、忠貿、茂鴻電力、明永及若干未具名A至F公司；終端應用為台電電網供電、工業用電、民生用電、用電大戶綠電需求、企業CPPA/RE憑證需求、儲能調頻備轉與微電網。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以政策需求、在手訂單及公司技術布局為主要動能。短中期成長動能包括：一、臺灣太陽光電政策目標由2025年20GW進度延至2026年11月追趕，2030年目標30GW，帶動地面型、漁電共生、屋頂型及用電大戶自建案需求；二、用電大戶條款、企業淨零、CPPA與綠電憑證需求支撐工商屋頂及自發自用市場；三、儲能與電力交易平台需求升溫，公司自2021年起參與台電AFC儲能，並布局表前、表後儲能與H-ELink聚能網；四、公司2026年4月揭露EPC在手訂單超過新臺幣76億元，預計3年內完成，對2026至2028年營收能見度有幫助；五、早期EPC案自2026年起陸續進入保固與維運收益期，營運有機會由一次性工程收入逐步轉向EPC、儲能、維運、投資收益並行。2025年公司營收12.3億元、年增33%，歸屬母公司淨利1.02億元、EPS 1.54元；2026年第1季營收2.42億元、年增116.02%，董事長表示2026年總營收可望高雙位數成長。2027至2028年未見公司正式逐年財測，合理觀察重點為76億元在手訂單認列進度、漁電共生與地面型案場審查速度、儲能案場能力測試及上線進度、維運合約累積、以及大亞綠能投資收益穩定性。主要風險包括地方民意與環社檢核導致漁電共生或地面型案場延宕、縣市審查標準變動、缺工、工程履約與逾期違約金、太陽能模組與逆變器供應價格波動、專案收入認列集中造成年度波動、政策與躉購費率或CPPA市場變化、儲能市場競爭加劇及資本需求上升。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • Jinko Solar 2024年度主要進貨供應商，占進貨淨額14.78%；非台股掛牌，為中國太陽能模組大廠。
  • 北宸 2023年度主要進貨供應商，占進貨淨額12.14%；年報未揭露完整公司名稱，是否掛牌無法確認。
  • 安集科技股份有限公司 6477 MoneyDJ列為太陽能模組供應商；台股上櫃公司。
  • 晶澳太陽能（JA Solar） MoneyDJ列為太陽能模組供應商；中國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • SMA Solar Technology AG MoneyDJ列為逆變器供應商；德國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 太陽能模組、逆變器、支架、儲能電池、EMS與施工分包商 EPC工程所需上游材料、設備與工程服務；多數個別供應商未在公開資料中完整揭露。
Downstream
  • 志光能源股份有限公司 2023年度主要銷貨客戶，占銷貨淨額58.20%，且為關係人；未上市櫃。
  • 博斯太陽能股份有限公司 2023年度主要銷貨客戶，占銷貨淨額10.55%，且為關係人；未上市櫃。
  • 崴曼科技股份有限公司 2024年度主要銷貨客戶，占銷貨淨額26.71%，並為南投AFC儲能專案業主；未確認為台股上市櫃。
  • 忠貿 2024年度主要銷貨客戶，占銷貨淨額19.91%；年報未揭露完整公司名稱，未確認為台股上市櫃。
  • 茂鴻電力股份有限公司 2024年度主要銷貨客戶，占銷貨淨額10.79%，並為臺南山上區太陽光電系統安裝工程業主；未上市櫃。
  • 明永股份有限公司 2025年重要工程合約相對人，委託太陽光電發電系統設置工程；未確認為台股上市櫃。
  • 台灣電力股份有限公司 太陽光電發電併入台電電網，儲能AFC與電力交易平台相關服務之制度與需求來源；國營事業，非上市櫃。
  • 大亞電線電纜股份有限公司／大亞集團 1609 策略股東與綠能合作夥伴；透過大亞綠能及旗下太陽能電廠案可能帶來工程承攬與投資收益，大亞電為台股上市公司。

Competitors

Sources（11）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.