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5258

虹堡 Computer & Peripherals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 虹堡 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 65Quality 19Growth 77Momentum 42Chips 75

Is 虹堡 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 24th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -1.2%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 26th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 58th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 4.3% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 35.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.28
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 元大-復北 holds 1,265 lots
  • sellers have 104 lots left, ~30 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -21% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-復北 has accumulated 1,265 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 元大-竹科 peaked at 204 lots, has sold 77%, 47 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -3.35pp, mid holders -6, retail +6.03pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -989 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-復北國泰-新莊元大-內湖民權凱基-湖口台新證券新光-台南
Distributing
元大-竹科永豐金-竹北華南永昌-台中永豐金-板新國泰-台中元大-彰化民生
Desks
own scale
永豐金證券元富統一國泰證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-復北 +1,265
    sold 0%
  • 國泰-新莊 +267
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-內湖民權 +265
    sold 0%
  • 凱基-湖口 +255
    sold 0%
  • 台新證券 +233
    sold 0%
  • 新光-台南 +219
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 元大-竹科 47 left
    sold 77%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-竹北 81 left
    sold 60%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-台中 18 left
    sold 89%· ~11 sessions to clear
  • 永豐金-板新 19 left
    sold 83%· paused recently
  • 國泰-台中 29 left
    sold 69%· paused recently
  • 元大-彰化民生 13 left
    sold 80%· paused recently

Desks

  • 永豐金證券 -2,578
    unclassified
  • 元富 -1,456
    unclassified
  • 統一 -1,366
    unclassified
  • 國泰證券 -667
    unclassified
Still selling 104 lots ~30 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +784 absorbed / -84 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -840 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 35.65%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

64 historical occurrences (since 2016-12-30)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 57.5%, Sample 40, Median +1.43%, Excess +2.85%, Beat mkt rate 55%；60-day: Win 64.1%, Sample 39, Median +9.47%, Excess +11.85%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%；120-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 39, Median +28.38%, Excess +23.23%, Beat mkt rate 69.2%

120 days after: historical avg +27.08%

20-day +2.91%
60-day +13.05%
120-day +27.08%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.5%
64.1%
69.2%
Sample
40
39
39
Median
+1.43%
+9.47%
+28.38%
Excess
+2.85%
+11.85%
+23.23%
Beat mkt rate
55%
61.5%
69.2%

Over 39 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 27.08%, beat the market by 23.23 pts; win rate 69.2%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 62+68.2% +75% 80.6% +40.3%
20-40 231+57.2% +65.6% 68% +20.7%
40-60 You are here588+49.5% +47.5% 66.5% +32.4%
60-80 189+4.1% -33.9% 33.3% -1.8%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 15.04, at the 57.6th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+56.3%
Win rate 100% Excess +44.2%
79d
Now
+22.5%
Win rate 73.8% Excess +16%
572d
-34.3%
Win rate 0% Excess -64.3%
65d
60-day momentum down
+35.6%
Win rate 90.8% Excess +18%
98d
+7.5%
Win rate 45.2% Excess -0.7%
341d
-23.1%
Win rate 0% Excess -72.5%
35d

Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 572 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 22.5%, win rate 73.8%, beat the market by 16%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.06%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by -0.6 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.43%, win rate 46.2%, beating the market by -2.87 pts on average.

What does 虹堡 do? Company profile

電子業－電腦及週邊設備業；金融支付終端機、POS與支付解決方案 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

5258 對應台灣上市普通股「虹堡」，公司全名為虹堡科技股份有限公司，英文名 Castles Technology Co., Ltd.。公司成立於1993年4月20日，總部位於新北市新店區北新路三段207-5號6樓，公開發行日為2011年9月13日，興櫃日為2011年11月14日，上市掛牌日為2016年12月30日。Goodinfo與鉅亨資料列示資本額約新台幣11.04億元，發行普通股約110,364,894股，董事長辛華熙，總經理林鴻鈞。公司主要營業項目為電腦及週邊設備製造、資訊軟體服務與產品設計，實際核心業務為電子金融交易終端機及相關支付設備的研發、設計、銷售、維修與租賃。2024年年報列示2024年底員工人數約1,025人，2025年第一季末約1,184人。2025年4月19日主要股東包括華康投資股份有限公司持股12.97%、張瑞敏4.80%、辛華熙3.57%、蔡志文2.18%、蔡幸娟1.93%、張育之1.80%、鳳凰陸創新創業投資股份有限公司1.80%、元富證券1.51%、華保投資有限公司1.30%、統一綜合證券衍生性商品避險專戶1.17%；華康投資主要股東含辛華熙43%。重要子公司與海外據點涵蓋美國、義大利、西班牙、新加坡、日本、英國、約旦、巴西、法國、澳洲、加拿大等，子公司多負責電子金融交易終端機銷售、服務或區域市場拓展。

Business

虹堡以自有品牌 CASTLES 行銷全球，營運主軸是研發、設計、銷售電子金融交易終端機與支付周邊，並逐步由硬體設備商轉向支付解決方案供應商。主要產品包括 EFT-POS 支付終端機、PIN-PAD 密碼鍵盤、mPOS 移動式收費終端機、個人金融應用產品、PS/CS Reader 小讀卡機、Contactless Reader 非接觸式晶片卡讀寫設備、電子式收銀機及週邊設備、收銀耗材、維修零件、自助加油或自助支付設備、車用非接觸式晶片卡讀寫設備等。應用場域包括金融收單、信用卡與會員卡交易、分期付款、網路 ATM、購物、轉帳、門禁與身分辨識、餐飲零售、醫療照護、交通運輸、自助加油站、充電樁、無人自助販賣與其他自助服務。商業模式上，公司自行研發產品，自購材料並委外或自有產線組裝，再透過海外子公司、區域系統整合商、金融機構與通路商銷售；產品須通過 PCI PTS、EMV 等國際與當地收單認證，認證時間與成本形成進入障礙。2024年合併營收為新台幣78.25651億元，較2023年80.45038億元下降；依地區，2024年台灣2.62336億元、亞洲不含台灣15.57920億元、美洲24.67800億元、歐洲34.65053億元、其他0.72542億元，約占營收3.35%、19.91%、31.53%、44.28%、0.93%，外銷比重約96.65%。2024年年報揭露單一客戶A銷貨12.26836億元，占營收15.68%，客戶名稱未公開；2025年第一季客戶A占營收12.10%。公司強調增加客戶廣度、提高既有客戶軟體服務採購比重、推廣 CASHUB 雲端平台，整合 CTMS、CWARE 遠端遙控與資料收集、CKIT 交易金鑰、CSTORE Android app platform、CINVOICE 電子發票、CECR 商店後台管理等，以提升客戶黏著度與經常性收入。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以 Android POS 換機、SoftPOS、無人自助支付、雲端平台、邊緣 AI、歐美市場拓展與新興市場布局為主軸。公司2024年年報對2025年營業計畫預估電子金融交易終端機及個人金融應用產品銷售約350萬組或台，電子式收銀機及週邊設備約5萬組或台，其他產品約6萬組或台；成長策略包括新產品推出與認證、強化台灣及中國大陸核心技術團隊、配合各區域研發團隊加速當地認證與應用開發、提高代工廠產能與良率、掌握交期並減少庫存、優化產品成本、拓展全球通路與海外據點。2025年3月法說簡報列示核心方向為加速新產品上市、聚焦 Android 與 SoftPOS、AI 應用、深化中東與亞太布局、重點拓展歐美與新興市場、投資雲端平台、強化系統整合商與收單機構合作。近期2026年股東會新聞指出，公司認為2026年第二季可望較第一季及去年同期成長，下半年逐步進入專案出貨高峰，上下半年營收比約4比6；美國成長強勁，日本表現尚可，歐洲估持穩，東南亞受中國低價競爭影響較緩；墨西哥、巴西、土耳其等市場透過併購或設立子公司拓展。中長期動能包括全球2G/3G退場帶動終端換機、Android 智慧支付滲透率提升、AI與 Edge Computing 融合、生物辨識支付、電動車充電樁與無人自助設備對嵌入式支付的需求、軟體與雲端服務收入比重提升。產業端，年報引用 Nilson Report 指出2024年至2029年全球性品牌支付卡交易次數預估由約775.97十億次增至1,108.60十億次，累計成長42.87%，推估POS需求仍有穩定支撐。主要風險包括中國大陸廠商價格競爭、全球前十大POS終端廠商市占集中、認證週期與費用高、產品生命週期因新科技加速而縮短、匯率波動、記憶體等零組件缺貨與漲價、關稅與國際貿易政策、海外子公司與併購整合費用、應收帳款信用減損、終端客戶產品轉換與認證延遲。2027至2028年的具體財務目標公司未公開；本段對2027至2028延續成長動能的描述係依公司策略、2029產業需求預估與目前產品路線推估，非公司正式財測。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 主、被動IC供應商 年報揭露主要原物料含主、被動IC；公司表示同時與多家供應商往來且備有安全庫存，未揭露個別供應商名稱，故不填台股代號。
  • PCB板、記憶體、面板、外殼、PRINT機芯與其他零組件供應商 年報列為主要原物料；公司稱供應情形良好、與供應商長期穩定合作，但未揭露個別供應商。
  • 代工廠與製造夥伴 虹堡自有品牌產品由公司研發、自購材料並委外組裝或自建產能；年報提及提升代工廠產能與良率、洽談台灣加一生產方案，未揭露代工廠名稱。
Downstream
  • 客戶A 2024年及2025年第一季占銷貨淨額10%以上的主要客戶，2024年銷貨金額新台幣12.26836億元、占15.68%；年報以代號揭露，未公開實名。
  • 各國系統整合商 海外銷售主要依靠地區系統整合營運商與在地合作夥伴，負責導入金融支付、零售、自助服務等場域；多數非台股掛牌或未公開名稱。
  • 金融機構、收單機構與通路商 國內外銷售管道包括金融機構、通路商、一般企業、公家機關、連鎖通路；公司產品須完成當地收單機構認證後供商戶收單使用。
  • 零售、餐飲、交通、醫療、自助加油、充電樁與無人自助設備業者 為支付終端與自助支付設備的終端應用客群；公司未逐一揭露客戶名稱，新聞僅稱無人自助產品已獲國內外知名客戶採用。

Competitors

  • 天喻資訊 Tianyu 中國大陸上市或掛牌公司；年報引用Nilson Report列為2023年全球POS終端機出貨第一大廠，非台股掛牌，台股代號不適用。
  • New POS 中國大陸POS終端機廠；年報列為全球第二大製造商，非台股掛牌。
  • 百富環球 PAX Global Technology 香港上市POS與支付終端廠，年報列Pax Technology為全球第三大POS終端製造商；非台股掛牌。
  • Ingenico 法國支付終端與收單解決方案競爭者，年報列為全球第四大製造商；非台股掛牌。
  • Verifone 美國支付終端品牌，年報列為全球第五大製造商；非台股掛牌。
  • 振樺電 8114 台股上市POS與工業電腦相關廠商，在零售與POS硬體領域與虹堡部分應用重疊。
  • 飛捷 6206 台股上市POS與工業電腦廠，為POS硬體與零售應用市場同業。
  • 拍檔 台股上櫃POS及商用設備相關廠商，為台灣POS同業。
  • 伍豐 8076 台股上櫃商用POS與博弈設備相關廠商，部分商用終端應用與虹堡重疊。
  • 同亨 5490 台股上櫃電子金融交易終端機與刷卡設備相關廠商，業務與虹堡最直接相近。
Sources（11）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.