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6155

鈞寶 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, premium valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 鈞寶 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 18Quality 45Growth 82Momentum 96Chips 36

Is 鈞寶 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 53th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.0%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 94th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 98th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.5% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 43.3%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.55
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 永豐金證券 holds 259 lots
  • sellers have 1,294 lots left, ~270 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +47% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 永豐金證券 has accumulated 259 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-信義 peaked at 1,639 lots, has sold 70%, 493 left, ~4 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -4.44pp, mid holders -1, retail +3.49pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,830 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
永豐金證券台新-西松元大-西屯凱基-彰化國泰-板橋永豐金-屏東
Distributing
凱基-信義台灣摩根士丹利元大證券新加坡商瑞銀摩根大通台新
Desks
own scale
富邦-板橋美林元大-楊梅凱基-台北
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 永豐金證券 +259
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新-西松 +200
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-西屯 +195
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-彰化 +163
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-板橋 +147
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金-屏東 +130
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 凱基-信義 493 left
    sold 70%· ~4 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 458 left
    sold 63%· paused recently
  • 元大證券 349 left
    sold 68%· paused recently
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 128 left
    sold 87%· ~7 sessions to clear
  • 摩根大通 241 left
    sold 76%· ~16 sessions to clear
  • 台新 405 left
    sold 59%· paused recently

Desks

  • 富邦-板橋 -1,058
    unclassified
  • 美林 -967
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元大-楊梅 -947
    unclassified
  • 凱基-台北 -511
    day-trade · selling pressure
Still selling 1,294 lots ~270 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,207 absorbed / -1,750 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -1,214 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

30 historical occurrences (since 2009-07-24)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 31%, Sample 29, Median -3.57%, Excess -0.64%, Beat mkt rate 34.5%；60-day: Win 41.4%, Sample 29, Median -7.89%, Excess -5.78%, Beat mkt rate 27.6%；120-day: Win 37.9%, Sample 29, Median -3.55%, Excess -9.53%, Beat mkt rate 24.1%

120 days after: historical avg -1.08%

20-day +0.34%
60-day -1.86%
120-day -1.08%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
31%
41.4%
37.9%
Sample
29
29
29
Median
-3.57%
-7.89%
-3.55%
Excess
-0.64%
-5.78%
-9.53%
Beat mkt rate
34.5%
27.6%
24.1%

Over 29 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.08%, lagged the market by 9.53 pts; win rate 37.9%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 43.29%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

51 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 46.7%, Sample 45, Median -0.28%, Excess -2.01%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%；60-day: Win 48.9%, Sample 45, Median 0%, Excess -3.85%, Beat mkt rate 40%；120-day: Win 38.6%, Sample 44, Median -5.73%, Excess -4.64%, Beat mkt rate 38.6%

120 days after: historical avg -2.44%

20-day -0.81%
60-day -1.17%
120-day -2.44%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
46.7%
48.9%
38.6%
Sample
45
45
44
Median
-0.28%
0%
-5.73%
Excess
-2.01%
-3.85%
-4.64%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
40%
38.6%

Over 44 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 2.44%, lagged the market by 4.64 pts; win rate 38.6%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 413+16.9% +15.1% 99.5% -3%
20-40 593+19.8% +15.1% 92.2% +0.5%
40-60 314+21.8% -1.3% 45.2% +2.2%
60-80 659+8.3% -1% 48.1% -5.8%
80-100 You are here1051+11.5% +1.7% 54.6% -2.5%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 179.2, at the 98.4th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+14%
Win rate 80% Excess +5%
350d
+9.8%
Win rate 51.6% Excess +3.4%
376d
Now
+7.4%
Win rate 46.1% Excess -1.3%
1003d
60-day momentum down
+16.4%
Win rate 92.2% Excess +7.7%
411d
+12.8%
Win rate 61.8% Excess +2.9%
327d
+4.5%
Win rate 53.6% Excess -3.6%
681d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1003 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.4%, win rate 46.1%, lagged the market by 1.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

44 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1%, win rate 47.7%, beating the market by -2.33 pts on average.

What does 鈞寶 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；被動元件、電感、磁性材料與EMI/EMC對策元件 上市（台灣證券交易所）

Overview

6155 對應證券為鈞寶電子工業股份有限公司，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司成立於1986年11月29日，總部位於桃園市平鎮區南豐路269號，統一編號22306130；董事長楊正利，總經理蔡裕江。股票曾於2002年3月1日上櫃，2006年8月18日上市。依TWSE OpenAPI 2026-06-16出表資料，實收資本額為新台幣880,239,880元，已發行普通股88,023,988股，無特別股、私募股為0；簽證會計師事務所為安永聯合會計師事務所，股務代理為台新證券股務代理部。公司自述為電感元件與電磁波干擾對策之專業製造與服務供應商，通過IATF 16949、ISO 9001、ISO 14001、IECQ QC080000等認證，並為SONY GREEN PARTNER。員工規模方面，113年報揭露2024年底本公司員工227人（不含外籍勞工及建教生），2025年4月15日為231人；2024 ESG報告另揭露全球員工約300人。主要股東依公司官網主要股東名單包括升寶投資12.03%、今寶投資9.37%、永豐商業銀行受託保管北川工業株式會社投資專戶4.95%、楊正利3.40%、郭坤樟3.35%、莊永順3.32%等。

Business

鈞寶核心業務為軟性氧化鐵芯、磁鐵芯、延遲線濾波器、電磁組件、共模抗流圈、天線相關製品、積層晶片電感、晶片磁珠、陶瓷高頻晶片電感、通訊用各式電感、EMI解決對策相關產品與變流器等製造、加工、買賣及進出口。113年度產品營業比重為鐵芯57.38%、晶片（積層晶片電感/磁珠等）35.58%、線圈7.03%。產品功能主要為濾波、抑制電磁波干擾（EMI）、調整電流、抗流、儲能與高頻訊號雜訊抑制；終端應用涵蓋汽車電子、機器人、物聯網、PC、Notebook、平板、主機板、電源供應器、顯示器、伺服器、數據機、手機、GPS、交換機、SETOP BOX、LCD TV、音響、家電、掃地機、遊戲機、資訊線材等。2024年銷售地區為中國大陸50.88%、台灣36.09%、其他13.03%。商業模式為以磁性材料配方、鐵芯粉料、積層與繞線製程能力，供應客製化或規格化的磁性元件及EMI/EMC解決方案給磁性材料通路品牌、電子代工大廠與終端系統客戶；113年報揭露單一主要銷貨客戶「甲」占全年銷貨淨額24.40%，但未揭露正式名稱。2025年前十月新聞資料顯示產品結構為CORE約62%、晶片電感及磁珠約21%、COIL約11%；應用別為車用約20%、家用約20%、AI及3C約21%、IPC約7%、機械設備約10%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望可分為成長動能、產能技術與風險三部分。成長動能：公司年報與2025新聞均指向AI應用硬體/AI伺服器、5G/6G、車用電子、電源供應、工業電腦、工業自動化、智慧家電、IoT與醫療應用硬體等需求。公司已將應用於AI伺服器的TLVR耦合電感列為新商品方向，並持續推展High Power Bead/Inductor、超薄Ferrite晶片製程、感應天線、無線感應充電線圈、NFC與高頻吸波材。2025年初新聞指出公司受AI、伺服器、電源客戶拉貨較積極帶動營收維持成長，並因應原物料價格上升對部分客戶調漲價格；2025年底新聞則指出歐系與日系客戶拉貨動能轉強，期待延續至2026年。產能與技術：公司2023年起在桃園平鎮廠投資新式磁芯材料粉料生產線及廠房，設計粉料產能300噸/月，年報揭露預計資本支出約新台幣2.5億元；原訂量產受2024市場需求與缺工影響延至2025年第二季，若順利量產，將降低材料供應與生產外在干擾，強化台灣供料穩定性。公司2025年預期銷售量為鐵芯188,422仟個、晶片電感757,580仟個、精密線圈114,355仟個，三類產品均以成長為目標。風險與挑戰：被動元件與電感市場競爭激烈，產品價格受全球3C與通訊市場價格壓力影響；基層勞工短缺推升人工與營運成本；氧化鎳、氧化鐵、氧化銅、氧化鋅與電極材料等原物料價格波動可能壓縮毛利；美元匯率、利率與避險損益影響業外；關稅、貿易戰、去中國化、地緣政治與供應鏈重組可能同時帶來訂單轉移機會與交期/成本不確定性；AI伺服器相關營收占比未見公司正式量化揭露，2026至2028放量程度仍需以月營收、法說會與產品導入進度驗證。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 氧化鐵、氧化鎳、氧化鋅、氧化銅、氧化錳、氧化鎂等金屬氧化物供應商 上游磁性粉料與鐵芯材料供應商；公司年報僅以原料類別及代號A/B/C/D揭露主要供應商，未揭露正式公司名稱，且表示同類原料有二家以上可詢價，無進貨過度集中風險。
  • 內電極、外電極、銀漿、銀鈀、電鍍材料、陶瓷粉末供應商 積層晶片電感/磁珠與高頻元件製程所需材料供應商；公司未揭露具名供應商。
  • 鍍鈾磁棒、白磁棒、鐵芯粉料供應商 線圈與鐵芯相關材料供應商；公司稱貨源品質穩定且充足，與供應商往來情形良好。
  • 設備與自動化供應商 支援粉料、晶片電感、鐵芯、線圈製程與自動化設備導入；具名供應商未公開。
Downstream
  • 全球知名磁性材料通路品牌 公司年報稱主要銷貨客戶包含全球知名磁性材料通路品牌；113年度最大客戶以代號「甲」揭露，占銷貨淨額24.40%，未揭露正式名稱。
  • 知名電子代工大廠 公司年報稱主要銷貨客戶包含知名電子代工大廠；應用於資訊、通訊、消費電子、電源、車用與工業設備等終端產品，未揭露具名客戶。
  • 日系、歐系客戶 新聞資料指出2025年日系及歐系客戶拉貨成長，主要應用來自車用、智慧家電、IPC、電機及機械設備；未揭露具名客戶。
  • Hitachi（日立） IEK/中央社舊資料曾稱日本Hitachi為主要客戶之一；屬日本企業，非台股掛牌，且此為較早期資料，是否仍為2026主要客戶未獲公司近期正式確認。
  • 資訊、通訊、消費電子、車用、IoT、自動化、伺服器、電源供應及醫療硬體終端應用廠商 下游終端應用族群；包含PC、Notebook、主機板、電源供應器、交換機、伺服器、手機、GPS、LCD TV、家電、汽車電子、自動化設備等。

Competitors

Sources（18）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.