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6415

矽力*-KY Semiconductor As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 矽力*-KY to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 18Quality 54Growth 75Momentum 86Chips 23

Is 矽力*-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 56th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.9%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 85th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 82th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -2.1% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 31.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.74
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 元大證券 holds 12,280 lots
  • sellers have 2,581 lots left, ~141 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +140% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大證券 has accumulated 12,280 lots since the start (sold 18%), now trimming.
  • Main distributor 凱基 peaked at 2,823 lots, has sold 56%, 1,234 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +2.50pp, mid holders +15, retail -2.78pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -26,215 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大證券港商麥格理摩根大通富邦證券國泰證券大和國泰
Distributing
凱基永豐金-匯立群益金鼎花旗環球華南永昌永豐金證券
Desks
own scale
新加坡商瑞銀美林美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大證券 +12,280
    sold 18%
  • 港商麥格理 +10,435
    sold 15%
  • 摩根大通 +8,451
    sold 4%
  • 富邦證券 +5,252
    sold 5%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +3,095
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 大和國泰 +2,570
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基 1,234 left
    sold 56%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-匯立 1,637 left
    sold 41%· ~17 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎 535 left
    sold 64%· ~141 sessions to clear
  • 花旗環球 707 left
    sold 35%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌 323 left
    sold 48%· paused recently
  • 永豐金證券 191 left
    sold 68%· paused recently

Desks

  • 新加坡商瑞銀 -7,738
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美林 -5,784
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美商高盛 -5,124
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -4,142
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 2,581 lots ~141 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,399 absorbed / -1,152 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -25,663 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 31.59%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

88 historical occurrences (since 2013-12-12)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 58.6%, Sample 87, Median +1.81%, Excess +1.57%, Beat mkt rate 58.6%；60-day: Win 69.8%, Sample 86, Median +10.07%, Excess +8.02%, Beat mkt rate 66.3%；120-day: Win 74.1%, Sample 85, Median +19.63%, Excess +9.47%, Beat mkt rate 63.5%

120 days after: historical avg +15.04%

20-day +2.65%
60-day +10.82%
120-day +15.04%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.6%
69.8%
74.1%
Sample
87
86
85
Median
+1.81%
+10.07%
+19.63%
Excess
+1.57%
+8.02%
+9.47%
Beat mkt rate
58.6%
66.3%
63.5%

Over 85 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 15.04%, beat the market by 9.47 pts; win rate 74.1%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 225+91.2% +101.3% 81.8% +70.9%
20-40 109+23.4% +12.9% 51.4% +2.8%
40-60 154+5.9% -16.9% 42.2% -13.2%
60-80 455+10.5% -20% 45.1% -13.5%
80-100 You are here1108+25.3% -2.7% 48.6% +7.9%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 76.88, at the 82.1th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+39.8%
Win rate 87.3% Excess +29.8%
79d
-5.7%
Win rate 38.8% Excess -15.6%
103d
Now
+15.3%
Win rate 62.2% Excess +6.2%
1069d
60-day momentum down
+29.4%
Win rate 73.2% Excess +17%
235d
+17.9%
Win rate 61.9% Excess +2.3%
231d
-5.9%
Win rate 37.2% Excess -14.7%
454d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1069 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 15.3%, win rate 62.2%, beat the market by 6.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

31 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.62%, win rate 63.3%, beating the market by +0.84 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

57 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.47%, win rate 60.7%, beating the market by +4.99 pts on average.

What does 矽力*-KY do? Company profile

半導體業；類比IC、電源管理IC設計 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

6415 對應證券為矽力*-KY，為台灣證交所上市普通股，非ETF/ETN/權證。Silergy Corp. 於2008年2月7日設立於英屬開曼群島，為控股公司，主要從事電源管理IC之研發、設計與銷售；股票於2013年12月12日在台灣證券交易所掛牌上市。公司台灣聯絡地址為新北市中和區板南路653號10樓；集團於中國大陸、美國、台灣、韓國、日本及印度設有研發、銷售或服務據點。主要經理人方面，公開資料顯示董事長為陳偉（Wei Chen），總經理為游步東及謝兵；公司資料亦揭露 Michael Grimm 為高階經理人之一。年報揭露截至2026年3月已發行股數約388,948仟股、實收股本新台幣972,370,267.5元、每股面額新台幣2.5元；Yahoo股市2026/02/09資料列示股本971,647,767元，差異主要來自員工認股權執行時點。員工規模方面，年報列示2025年底合計1,653人，其中研發人員1,243人、一般職員404人、管理人員6人；截至2026年3月31日合計1,685人。主要股東方面，公司官網前十大股東基準日2025年3月30日列示：渣打國際商業銀行受託保管富達基金投資專戶7.69%、Wei Chen 7.20%、Budong You 3.85%、德商德意志銀行台北分行受託保管聖詹姆士新興市場股票單位信託相關專戶2.22%、元大商業銀行受託保管矽力杰陸籍員工集合投資專戶1.98%、Michael Grimm 1.88%、普徠仕新興市場探索股票信託投資專戶1.86%、新加坡政府相關託管戶1.79%、首源/斯圖爾特投資人亞洲太平洋領導基金1.74%、富邦人壽保險股份有限公司1.67%。

Business

矽力杰為專業類比IC設計公司，核心產品為電源管理IC，並採取無晶圓廠IC設計加上自有製程、封裝與測試開發技術交由外部廠商製作的「Virtual IDM」模式。公司主要產品包括直流轉換晶片、交直流轉換晶片、多路電源管理晶片、LED照明晶片、電池管理系統晶片、光感、馬達驅動、音訊功放、電源模組、保護開關、靜電保護、電錶計量晶片及信號鏈晶片解決方案；官網應用涵蓋AI數據中心、AI伺服器、光模組、SSD、企業級儲存、汽車BMS、牽引逆變器、區域控制器、T-BOX、IVI、HVAC、EPS、OBC與DC-DC、ADAS、企業交換機、通信電源、消費電子、家電、工廠自動化、儲能、電力自動化與醫療等。2025年合併營收淨額新台幣18,812,135仟元，年增約2%；稅後淨利2,532,904仟元，年增約19%，基本EPS 6.40元。2025年終端應用營收結構為：消費性電子37%（6,871,353仟元）、工業用30%（5,748,156仟元）、資訊產品12%（2,270,527仟元）、網路通訊7%（1,374,289仟元）、汽車電子14%（2,547,810仟元）。年報指出2025年通訊類與車用產品營收分別成長38%與25%，通訊受惠新產品起量與市占提升，車用受惠新產品提升單車晶片價值及車廠市占提升；消費性與資訊產品則受關稅影響客戶拉貨與需求疲弱。銷售模式以通路代理商為主，依客戶商業需求亦採直接銷售。2025年第一大客戶K公司銷售占比16.03%，第二大客戶L公司占比11.77%，公司因保密約定未揭露實名。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年公司已從2023-2024年類比IC庫存調整後逐步復甦，但全年營收僅小幅成長，主要受消費性與資訊產品需求疲弱、關稅與客戶拉貨保守影響；較具韌性的動能來自通訊、車用與AI資料中心相關應用。公司年報明確指出長期將深耕Virtual IDM模式，以自主研發第四代Gen4先進製程為核心，提升功率密度、能效、電路集成度並縮小晶片面積；G4平台已有車規產品量產，將強化汽車、資料中心與通訊產品競爭力。2026年展望方面，公司官網月營收顯示2026年1-5月累計營收新台幣8,784,259仟元、年增23.21%，美元計年增25.89%；經濟日報2026/05/16報導董事長陳偉表示第1季營收48.6億元、年增18.6%，第2季年增率可望維持兩成左右，全年達成20%以上成長機率提高，資料中心產品營收占比目標上修至15%-20%，VCORE產品已打入AI ASIC領域，預計2026年底量產、2027年放量。2027-2028年中長期動能推估將來自AI資料中心功耗提升帶動主板電源、VCORE、光模組、SSD、PSU控制與企業儲存電源需求；車用電子則受電動車、車身控制、BMS、OBC/DC-DC、ADAS與區域控制器導入週期推動，但車規認證與design-in轉營收時間較長。主要風險包括：類比IC價格競爭與平均售價下降、消費性電子需求波動、關稅與地緣政治、晶圓代工產能與成本、客戶與供應商雖未高度集中但關鍵供應商占比高、美元功能性貨幣與新台幣/人民幣匯率、專利與智慧財產權訴訟、車用與AI高階電源競爭對手技術領先、以及2027-2028年資料中心電源架構若快速轉向新規格可能造成既有產品路線需再投入研發。2027-2028具體營收與市占數字公司未公告，屬推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • R公司（年報匿名揭露之晶圓供應商） 主要晶圓代工供應商；2025年進貨金額新台幣3,673,645仟元，占全年進貨淨額51.43%。公司因保密協議未揭露實名，無法確認是否為台股掛牌公司。
  • T公司（年報匿名揭露之晶圓供應商） 主要晶圓代工供應商；2025年進貨金額新台幣1,027,299仟元，占全年進貨淨額14.38%。公司因保密協議未揭露實名，無法確認是否為台股掛牌公司。
  • U公司（年報匿名揭露之晶圓供應商） 主要晶圓代工供應商；2025年進貨金額新台幣953,611仟元，占全年進貨淨額13.35%。公司因保密協議未揭露實名，無法確認是否為台股掛牌公司。
  • 光罩、封裝、測試與晶圓代工產業鏈廠商 矽力杰為Fabless/Virtual IDM模式，IC設計後仍需經光罩、晶圓製造、封裝與測試等外包製程；年報未逐一揭露具名供應商。
Downstream
  • K公司（年報匿名揭露之客戶） 主要銷售客戶；2025年銷貨金額新台幣3,015,924仟元，占合併營收16.03%。因契約保密未揭露實名，無法確認是否為台股掛牌公司。
  • L公司（年報匿名揭露之客戶） 主要銷售客戶；2025年銷貨金額新台幣2,213,534仟元，占合併營收11.77%。因契約保密未揭露實名，無法確認是否為台股掛牌公司。
  • 通路代理商 公司營銷策略主要採通路代理商銷售，並依客戶需求搭配直接銷售；代理商實名未揭露。
  • AI資料中心、伺服器、光模組、SSD與企業級儲存客戶 下游終端應用包含AI伺服器、光模組、SSD、企業級儲存與通信電源等；多數終端客戶未於年報具名揭露。
  • 汽車電子與新能源車供應鏈客戶 下游應用包含Auto BMS、牽引逆變器、OBC/DC-DC、區域控制器、ADAS、車身控制、車燈與HVAC等；車廠或Tier-1實名未於年報揭露。

Competitors

  • 德州儀器（Texas Instruments） 年報列為國外電源管理IC主要競爭對手；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • Analog Devices（含Maxim Integrated） 年報列ADI與Maxim為國外主要競爭對手；Maxim已併入ADI，ADI為美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • onsemi（安森美） 年報列ON semi為國外主要競爭對手；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 致新科技 8081 年報列為台灣電源管理IC主要競爭對手；台股上櫃公司。
  • 通嘉科技 3588 年報列為台灣電源管理IC主要競爭對手；台股上市櫃公司，主要從事電源管理與相關IC。
  • Monolithic Power Systems（MPS） 高階電源管理、資料中心VCORE/SPS領域的重要國際競爭者；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。此項為產業競爭格局補充，非公司年報競爭者表列名單。
Sources（10）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.