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AAL American Airlines Group Inc.

Industrials

13.08 +0.48 +3.79% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -13.7%
Open
13.09
High
13.40
Low
12.96
Prev close
12.60
Volume
84M
Amplitude
3.49%
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+12.3%
52W 10.09 18.79

Is American Airlines Group Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Risk / liquidity: Good; Growth: Weak.

Valuation Neutral Free-cash-flow yield is Average.
TTM P/E -17.26 N/A
Price / book -1.98 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -1.09 41th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 11.39 69th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 1.59 39th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) -0.15 39th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Weak Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 12.32 65th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -186.9 11th percentile Lagging
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -21.4 26th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -1.25 49th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 758,625,242 98th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 35.22 40th percentile Good

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From American Airlines Group Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of American Airlines Group Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like American Airlines Group Inc.

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) peers and tracking

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American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 12.32%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

3 historical occurrences (since 2022-02-22)

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 22.44%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

18 historical occurrences (since 2016-04-22)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 58.8%, Sample 17, Median +3.64%, Excess +0.78%, Beat mkt rate 52.9%

60-day: Win 64.7%, Sample 17, Median +10.62%, Excess +2.8%, Beat mkt rate 58.8%

120-day: Win 50%, Sample 16, Median -0.76%, Excess -6.42%, Beat mkt rate 31.2%

120 days after: historical avg +0.02%

20-day +2.31%
60-day +5.58%
120-day +0.02%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.8%
64.7%
50%
Sample
17
17
16
Median
+3.64%
+10.62%
-0.76%
Excess
+0.78%
+2.8%
-6.42%
Beat mkt rate
52.9%
58.8%
31.2%

Over 16 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 0.02%, lagged the market by 6.42 pts; win rate 50%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg -15.03%, win rate 12.5%, beating the market by -16.82 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.49%, win rate 27.3%, beating the market by -8.1 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.