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AAPL Apple Inc.

Technology

344.63 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +44.9%
Open
346.72
High
349.19
Low
334.35
Prev close
348.91
Volume
67.4M
Amplitude
4.25%
P/E
39.5
P/B
46.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+14.2%
52W 243.42 351.73

Is Apple Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 39.52 77th percentile Pricey
Price / book 46.78 98th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.72 57th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 119.91 95th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 33.17 85th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 29.28 85th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 14.24 68th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 32.32 72th percentile Good
Momentum Strong 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 10.41 86th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 26.86 76th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 13,497,055,648 100th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 18.91 20th percentile Top
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Apple Inc. (AAPL) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Apple Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Apple Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Apple Inc.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Apple Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

27 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-06)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 70.4%, Sample 27, Median +3.93%, Excess +2.57%, Beat mkt rate 74.1%

60-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 26, Median +2.63%, Excess +2.07%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 60%, Sample 25, Median +7.25%, Excess +3.2%, Beat mkt rate 52%

120 days after: historical avg +5.96%

20-day +2.89%
60-day +4.66%
120-day +5.96%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
70.4%
69.2%
60%
Sample
27
26
25
Median
+3.93%
+2.63%
+7.25%
Excess
+2.57%
+2.07%
+3.2%
Beat mkt rate
74.1%
50%
52%

Over 25 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.96%, beat the market by 3.2 pts; win rate 60%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 14.24%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

6 historical occurrences (since 2021-04-29)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 83.3%, Sample 6, Median +3.03%, Excess +1.42%, Beat mkt rate 83.3%

60-day: Win 100%, Sample 6, Median +9.09%, Excess +8.18%, Beat mkt rate 83.3%

120-day: Win 100%, Sample 5, Median +17.47%, Excess +14.76%, Beat mkt rate 100%

120 days after: historical avg +18.14%

20-day +3.13%
60-day +9.75%
120-day +18.14%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
83.3%
100%
100%
Sample
6
6
5
Median
+3.03%
+9.09%
+17.47%
Excess
+1.42%
+8.18%
+14.76%
Beat mkt rate
83.3%
83.3%
100%

Over 5 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.14%, beat the market by 14.76 pts; win rate 100%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 662+15.3% +18.3% 79% +8%
20-40 355+24% +25.6% 91.5% +1.9%
40-60 You are here263+17.6% +14.6% 90.1% +1.8%
60-80 15Insufficient data
80-100 201+65% +70.1% 100% +38.7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 39.52, placing it in the 59.0 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+6.4%
Win rate 73.1% Excess +1.4%
528d
Now
+4.9%
Win rate 64.4% Excess -1.2%
374d
+30.3%
Win rate 100% Excess +24.2%
171d
60-day momentum down
+16.8%
Win rate 76% Excess +7.8%
396d
+20.8%
Win rate 80.7% Excess +6.9%
109d
+67.7%
Win rate 100% Excess +44.5%
38d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 374 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 4.9%, win rate 64.4%, lagged the market by 1.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.35%, win rate 82.8%, beating the market by +3.67 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.26%, win rate 77.3%, beating the market by +5.27 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.