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ADBE Adobe Inc.

Technology

251.47 +1.24 +0.50% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -51.5%
Open
249.96
High
255.43
Low
248.62
Prev close
250.23
Volume
3.7M
Amplitude
2.72%
P/E
14.0
P/B
8.3
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+12.0%
52W 190.12 362.71

Is Adobe Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 13.96 38th percentile Fair
Price / book 8.28 90th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 10.88 83th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 61.92 93th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 35.7 86th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 40.79 90th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 12.03 64th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 11.58 62th percentile Good
Momentum Neutral 60-day return is Good, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -3.85 57th percentile Good
240-day return (%) -24.43 29th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 1,035,276,806 99th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 42.84 49th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Adobe Inc. (ADBE) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Adobe Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Adobe Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Adobe Inc.

Adobe Inc. (ADBE) peers and tracking

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Adobe Inc. (ADBE) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 12.03%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

16 historical occurrences (since 2018-03-28)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 75%, Sample 16, Median +2.92%, Excess -0.12%, Beat mkt rate 56.2%

60-day: Win 46.7%, Sample 15, Median -1.2%, Excess -5%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 14, Median -5.71%, Excess -9.93%, Beat mkt rate 28.6%

120 days after: historical avg -2.97%

20-day +2.14%
60-day +0.25%
120-day -2.97%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
75%
46.7%
42.9%
Sample
16
15
14
Median
+2.92%
-1.2%
-5.71%
Excess
-0.12%
-5%
-9.93%
Beat mkt rate
56.2%
40%
28.6%

Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 2.97%, lagged the market by 9.93 pts; win rate 42.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here729+2.3% -14.3% 39.4% -10.9%
20-40 217-15.1% -20% 21.2% -30.2%
40-60 198-23.4% -32.6% 20.2% -32.3%
60-80 150+5.2% +9.4% 51.3% -18.5%
80-100 137+29.4% +29.9% 100% +2.6%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 13.96, placing it in the 2.7 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+18.3%
Win rate 67.5% Excess +9.6%
280d
-11.3%
Win rate 23.5% Excess -18.8%
272d
+5.5%
Win rate 70.2% Excess -7.3%
198d
60-day momentum down
Now
-4.5%
Win rate 34.1% Excess -10.2%
712d
+8.7%
Win rate 57.1% Excess +0.1%
42d
Insufficient data
(24d)

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 712 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 4.5%, win rate 34.1%, lagged the market by 10.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.44%, win rate 65%, beating the market by +3.56 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.54%, win rate 68.8%, beating the market by +5.44 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.26%, win rate 81.8%, beating the market by +4.86 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.