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ADT ADT Inc.

Industrials

9.90 USD Close 11/10
Since 2024-12-11 +42.0%

Close 11/10

Open
9.90
High
9.91
Low
9.89
Prev close
9.93
Volume
16.86M
Amplitude
0.20%
P/E
13.6
P/B
2.0
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+2.0%
52W 6.03 9.99
FinLab Studio

From ADT Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of ADT Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like ADT Inc.

Is ADT Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-11-10

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Strong, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 13.6 38th percentile · Fair
Price / book 2.0 60th percentile · Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 25.4 93th percentile · Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong FCF margin, TTM is Top; Operating margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 17.2 79th percentile · Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 24.6 78th percentile · Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 35.3 89th percentile · Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 2.0 40th percentile · Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 5.8 58th percentile · Good
Momentum Strong 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 39.0 97th percentile · Top
240-day return (%) 26.6 77th percentile · Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 223,178,271.0 93th percentile · Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 73.9 70th percentile · Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

ADT Inc. (ADT) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-11-10

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

ADT Inc. (ADT) peers and tracking

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ADT Inc. (ADT) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

12 historical occurrences (since 2019-11-13)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 11, Median -1.2%, Excess -3.1%, Beat mkt rate 36.4%

60-day: Win 27.3%, Sample 11, Median -7.4%, Excess -12.8%, Beat mkt rate 9.1%

120-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 11, Median -4.6%, Excess -16.9%, Beat mkt rate 9.1%

120 days after: historical avg -10.1%

20-day -2.0%
60-day -8.2%
120-day -10.1%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
36.4%
27.3%
36.4%
Sample
11
11
11
Median
-1.2%
-7.4%
-4.6%
Excess
-3.1%
-12.8%
-16.9%
Beat mkt rate
36.4%
9.1%
9.1%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 10.1%, lagged the market by 16.9 pts; win rate 36.4%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 90.6%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
11 historical occurrences (since 2019-10-22)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 30.0%, Sample 10, Median -2.1%, Excess +4.0%, Beat mkt rate 40.0%

60-day: Win 60.0%, Sample 10, Median +1.4%, Excess -7.9%, Beat mkt rate 20.0%

120-day: Win 50.0%, Sample 10, Median -1.7%, Excess -11.5%, Beat mkt rate 10.0%

120 days after: historical avg -2.0%

20-day +5.3%
60-day -2.1%
120-day -2.0%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
30.0%
60.0%
50.0%
Sample
10
10
10
Median
-2.1%
+1.4%
-1.7%
Excess
+4.0%
-7.9%
-11.5%
Beat mkt rate
40.0%
20.0%
10.0%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 2.0%, lagged the market by 11.5 pts; win rate 50.0%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 144-13.2% -14.8% 6.2% -31.7%
40-60 Now0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 13.56, placing it in the 49.7 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-12.2%
Win rate 4.9% Excess -17.8%
81d
Now
-1.6%
Win rate 20.8% Excess -14.4%
48d
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
-3.3%
Win rate 27.4% Excess -13.1%
135d
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 48 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 1.6%, win rate 20.8%, lagged the market by 14.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 100,637 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.39%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.05 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.2%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by -3.5 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.