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AEP American Electric Power Company, Inc.

Utilities

130.33 +0.12 +0.09% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +40.3%
Open
130.04
High
130.84
Low
128.61
Prev close
130.21
Volume
3.8M
Amplitude
1.71%
P/E
21.2
P/B
2.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+8.9%
52W 112.54 140.58

Is American Electric Power Company, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 21.24 56th percentile Pricey
Price / book 2.16 62th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 8.48 78th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good FCF margin, TTM is Top; ROE, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 10.22 65th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 28.6 82th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 25.74 83th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 8.87 58th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -10.51 50th percentile Good
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 4.76 80th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 9.82 63th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 427,873,201 97th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 16.86 17th percentile Top
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From American Electric Power Company, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of American Electric Power Company, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like American Electric Power Company, Inc.

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) peers and tracking

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American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 8.78%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
15 historical occurrences (since 2015-04-23)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 12, Median -0.95%, Excess -0.43%, Beat mkt rate 50%

60-day: Win 75%, Sample 12, Median +4.75%, Excess +1.62%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 75%, Sample 12, Median +9.31%, Excess +0.57%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +6.43%

20-day +1.1%
60-day +4.53%
120-day +6.43%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
75%
75%
Sample
12
12
12
Median
-0.95%
+4.75%
+9.31%
Excess
-0.43%
+1.62%
+0.57%
Beat mkt rate
50%
50%
50%

Over 12 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.43%, beat the market by 0.57 pts; win rate 75%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 400+14.2% +16.1% 85.5% +6.3%
20-40 344+15.4% +16.4% 79.7% +5.1%
40-60 479+10.4% +13.4% 67% -9.7%
60-80 You are here200+4.9% +4.5% 69% -22.4%
80-100 13Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 21.24, placing it in the 74.5 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+8.7%
Win rate 81.9% Excess +3%
454d
+1.8%
Win rate 55.7% Excess -5%
418d
Now
-5%
Win rate 12% Excess -19.7%
83d
60-day momentum down
+13%
Win rate 95.5% Excess +7.2%
242d
+4.5%
Win rate 69% Excess -8.4%
297d
-3.8%
Win rate 17.7% Excess -12.7%
62d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 83 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 5%, win rate 12%, lagged the market by 19.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.99%, win rate 59.3%, beating the market by -0.62 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

10 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.73%, win rate 40%, beating the market by -6.16 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.02%, win rate 40%, beating the market by -0.97 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.