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ALLY Ally Financial Inc.

Financial Services

38.17 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +2.7%
Open
39.30
High
39.30
Low
37.83
Prev close
39.64
Volume
5.9M
Amplitude
3.71%
P/E
8.8
P/B
0.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+4.9%
52W 35.92 47.29

Is Ally Financial Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair TTM P/E is Fair, but Free-cash-flow yield is Average.
TTM P/E 8.75 21th percentile Fair
Price / book 0.78 24th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -5.24 32th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 9.95 65th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 11.78 59th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) -3.8 33th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 4.91 48th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 162.65 88th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -13.37 36th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -0.8 50th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 168,416,054 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 21.36 23th percentile Good
FinLab Studio

From Ally Financial Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Ally Financial Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Ally Financial Inc.

Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) peers and tracking

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Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) quant signal backtests

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 504+18.2% -14.5% 36.3% +9.2%
20-40 You are here226+37.3% +44.2% 72.6% +19.1%
40-60 36+30.8% +29.7% 94.4% +6.6%
60-80 84+26.5% +14.6% 95.2% +3%
80-100 580+23.3% +14.8% 72.1% +5.8%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 8.75, placing it in the 36.0 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+9.2%
Win rate 40% Excess +1.3%
210d
+19%
Win rate 76.9% Excess +6.9%
121d
+18.9%
Win rate 71.5% Excess +8.4%
578d
60-day momentum down
+2.7%
Win rate 34.1% Excess +0.2%
443d
Now
Insufficient data
(22d)
+7.6%
Win rate 67.6% Excess -0.6%
176d

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.25%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +0.27 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.1%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +1.91 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.49%, win rate 40%, beating the market by +1.86 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.55%, win rate 61.5%, beating the market by +1.33 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.