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AMCR Amcor plc

Consumer Cyclical

49.02 +1.63 +3.43% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -0.8%
Open
47.84
High
49.04
Low
47.73
Prev close
47.39
Volume
3.6M
Amplitude
2.76%
P/E
19.9
P/B
1.9
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+56.6%
52W 7.75 50.94

Is Amcor plc a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Strong, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 19.91 53th percentile Pricey
Price / book 1.86 57th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 7.97 77th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 9.38 63th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 8.08 52th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 7.43 56th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top; Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 56.61 88th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 33.71 72th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) 2.15 76th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 18.57 70th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 138,055,815 90th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 21.88 24th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Amcor plc (AMCR) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Amcor plc to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Amcor plc across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Amcor plc (AMCR) peers and tracking

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Amcor plc (AMCR) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 83.53%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
7 historical occurrences (since 2020-09-10)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 6, Median +2.09%, Excess -0.86%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median -2.22%, Excess -5.74%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%

120-day: Win 16.7%, Sample 6, Median -3.94%, Excess -7.23%, Beat mkt rate 0%

120 days after: historical avg -4.06%

20-day +1.82%
60-day -2.62%
120-day -4.06%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
66.7%
50%
16.7%
Sample
6
6
6
Median
+2.09%
-2.22%
-3.94%
Excess
-0.86%
-5.74%
-7.23%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
16.7%
0%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 4.06%, lagged the market by 7.23 pts; win rate 16.7%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 322+1.7% +1% 51.9% -22.6%
20-40 163-9.9% -12% 10.4% -25.9%
40-60 172-7.1% -8.5% 31.4% -20.2%
60-80 117+3.7% +6.1% 54.7% -10.5%
80-100 You are here6Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 19.91, placing it in the 91.7 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-1.5%
Win rate 45.5% Excess -14.5%
112d
-5.9%
Win rate 29% Excess -12.6%
176d
Now
-0.1%
Win rate 46.5% Excess -10.1%
86d
60-day momentum down
-4.6%
Win rate 28.9% Excess -14.1%
332d
+10.9%
Win rate 66.3% Excess +4.1%
95d
+8.9%
Win rate 80.8% Excess +1.5%
99d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 86 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 0.1%, win rate 46.5%, lagged the market by 10.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.4%, win rate 61.5%, beating the market by -6.73 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.67%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -0.56 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.01%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -3.96 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.