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AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

Technology

504.80 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +255.3%
Open
508.53
High
520.40
Low
492.21
Prev close
566.42
Volume
39.3M
Amplitude
4.98%
P/E
129.4
P/B
12.3
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+39.5%
52W 188.22 658.52

Is Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Strong, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Expensive.
TTM P/E 129.44 94th percentile Expensive
Price / book 12.26 94th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 1.02 51th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 9.57 64th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 15.71 66th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 20.34 77th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 39.54 85th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 122.86 86th percentile Top
Momentum Strong 240-day return is Top; 60-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 3.17 77th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 104.53 96th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 11,418,606,660 100th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 58.14 63th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) peers and tracking

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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 88.46%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
25 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-05)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 68%, Sample 25, Median +7.24%, Excess +5.34%, Beat mkt rate 56%

60-day: Win 76%, Sample 25, Median +19.73%, Excess +20.68%, Beat mkt rate 68%

120-day: Win 68%, Sample 25, Median +21.86%, Excess +23.73%, Beat mkt rate 56%

120 days after: historical avg +31.7%

20-day +6.62%
60-day +25.33%
120-day +31.7%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
68%
76%
68%
Sample
25
25
25
Median
+7.24%
+19.73%
+21.86%
Excess
+5.34%
+20.68%
+23.73%
Beat mkt rate
56%
68%
56%

Over 25 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 31.7%, beat the market by 23.73 pts; win rate 68%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 39.54%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

11 historical occurrences (since 2020-04-29)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -0.37%, Excess -0.31%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%

60-day: Win 81.8%, Sample 11, Median +17.5%, Excess +16.35%, Beat mkt rate 72.7%

120-day: Win 100%, Sample 10, Median +36.51%, Excess +27.62%, Beat mkt rate 70%

120 days after: historical avg +39.35%

20-day +2.7%
60-day +22.91%
120-day +39.35%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.5%
81.8%
100%
Sample
11
11
10
Median
-0.37%
+17.5%
+36.51%
Excess
-0.31%
+16.35%
+27.62%
Beat mkt rate
45.5%
72.7%
70%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 39.35%, beat the market by 27.62 pts; win rate 100%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 290+5.4% -0.5% 49.3% +7%
20-40 231+88.3% +85.6% 69.3% +79.5%
40-60 237+108.3% +91.3% 100% +87.6%
60-80 You are here163+56.3% +39% 99.4% +33.9%
80-100 206-19.5% -27.5% 19.9% -33.9%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 129.44, placing it in the 64.5 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+7%
Win rate 49.7% Excess +8.8%
197d
Now
+52.3%
Win rate 94.1% Excess +44.2%
272d
+3.7%
Win rate 54% Excess -4.3%
213d
60-day momentum down
+29.2%
Win rate 47% Excess +27.4%
251d
+61.3%
Win rate 88.7% Excess +50.2%
204d
-16.3%
Win rate 14.5% Excess -25.6%
110d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 272 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 52.3%, win rate 94.1%, beat the market by 44.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +17.14%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +14.76 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +19.8%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by +17.7 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.