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ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Consumer Cyclical

164.17 -0.27 -0.16% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +4.5%
Open
165.28
High
169.24
Low
163.89
Prev close
164.44
Volume
1.1M
Amplitude
3.25%
P/E
14.1
P/B
5.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+4.7%
52W 65.45 169.24

Is Abercrombie & Fitch Co. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 14.08 38th percentile Fair
Price / book 5.15 83th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 8.12 77th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 39.57 90th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 13.71 62th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 10.61 62th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 4.73 47th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 10.5 61th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 48.84 98th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 135.79 98th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Neutral 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 183,888,415 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 84.16 77th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Abercrombie & Fitch Co. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Abercrombie & Fitch Co. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) peers and tracking

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Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 historical occurrences (since 2017-11-17)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 64.3%, Sample 14, Median +6.91%, Excess +2.65%, Beat mkt rate 64.3%

60-day: Win 61.5%, Sample 13, Median +22.75%, Excess +16.21%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%

120-day: Win 61.5%, Sample 13, Median +15.47%, Excess +39.65%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%

120 days after: historical avg +47.11%

20-day +3.42%
60-day +19.5%
120-day +47.11%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
64.3%
61.5%
61.5%
Sample
14
13
13
Median
+6.91%
+22.75%
+15.47%
Excess
+2.65%
+16.21%
+39.65%
Beat mkt rate
64.3%
61.5%
53.8%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 47.11%, beat the market by 39.65 pts; win rate 61.5%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 97.54%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
14 historical occurrences (since 2017-09-12)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 14, Median +0.22%, Excess -0.05%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%

60-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 13, Median +12.7%, Excess +9.14%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%

120-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 13, Median +31.01%, Excess +28.5%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%

120 days after: historical avg +34.89%

20-day +2.54%
60-day +13.23%
120-day +34.89%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
69.2%
53.8%
Sample
14
13
13
Median
+0.22%
+12.7%
+31.01%
Excess
-0.05%
+9.14%
+28.5%
Beat mkt rate
35.7%
53.8%
53.8%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 34.89%, beat the market by 28.5 pts; win rate 53.8%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 343+28.1% +8.4% 60.9% +17.7%
20-40 165+32.1% -28.7% 31.5% +16.5%
40-60 You are here188+43.1% +16.8% 50.5% +27.2%
60-80 135+171.4% +131.8% 73.3% +148%
80-100 129+311.6% +299.8% 100% +288.9%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 14.08, placing it in the 43.0 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-7%
Win rate 39% Excess -13.3%
164d
Now
+36.5%
Win rate 65.8% Excess +25.2%
269d
+93.5%
Win rate 99.4% Excess +83.6%
163d
60-day momentum down
+3.2%
Win rate 52.3% Excess -0.4%
398d
+34.2%
Win rate 79.2% Excess +28.3%
53d
+156.5%
Win rate 100% Excess +152.4%
33d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 269 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 36.5%, win rate 65.8%, beat the market by 25.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.03%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +5.42 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.54%, win rate 63%, beating the market by +9.22 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.