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APA APA Corporation

Energy

52.82 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +155.8%
Open
52.15
High
52.96
Low
51.91
Prev close
51.51
Volume
4.4M
Amplitude
2.04%
P/E
11.2
P/B
2.6
Revenue YoY (TTM)
-12.2%
52W 21.63 52.96

Is APA Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 11.17 29th percentile Fair
Price / book 2.64 68th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 11.39 84th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; Operating margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 23.89 85th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 13.76 62th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 23.87 81th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) -12.18 20th percentile Lagging
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 58.72 79th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 45.32 97th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 119.17 97th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 245,636,885 94th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 38.98 45th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

APA Corporation (APA) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From APA Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of APA Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like APA Corporation

APA Corporation (APA) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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APA Corporation (APA) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

12 historical occurrences (since 2018-10-01)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 11, Median +1.08%, Excess -1.66%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median +5.06%, Excess +1.86%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 80%, Sample 10, Median +5.43%, Excess +11.85%, Beat mkt rate 70%

120 days after: historical avg +13.38%

20-day -1.31%
60-day +2.23%
120-day +13.38%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.5%
50%
80%
Sample
11
10
10
Median
+1.08%
+5.06%
+5.43%
Excess
-1.66%
+1.86%
+11.85%
Beat mkt rate
54.5%
50%
70%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 13.38%, beat the market by 11.85 pts; win rate 80%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 85.65%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
29 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-05)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 28, Median -3.16%, Excess -4.39%, Beat mkt rate 39.3%

60-day: Win 51.9%, Sample 27, Median +2.22%, Excess -2.53%, Beat mkt rate 51.9%

120-day: Win 46.2%, Sample 26, Median -8.14%, Excess -2.2%, Beat mkt rate 46.2%

120 days after: historical avg +2.55%

20-day -4.96%
60-day -3.13%
120-day +2.55%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
42.9%
51.9%
46.2%
Sample
28
27
26
Median
-3.16%
+2.22%
-8.14%
Excess
-4.39%
-2.53%
-2.2%
Beat mkt rate
39.3%
51.9%
46.2%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.55%, lagged the market by 2.2 pts; win rate 46.2%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 306-14.3% -18.6% 30.1% -29.3%
20-40 209-19.5% -28.8% 7.7% -44.8%
40-60 173+102.6% +91.8% 100% +82.8%
60-80 You are here0Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 11.17, placing it in the 69.9 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-17.1%
Win rate 7.9% Excess -26.6%
63d
+26.1%
Win rate 76.4% Excess +16.1%
284d
Now
Insufficient data
(1d)
60-day momentum down
-8.9%
Win rate 28.7% Excess -15.6%
359d
+27.8%
Win rate 81.2% Excess +10.8%
101d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.98%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +10.52 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

33 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.43%, win rate 51.7%, beating the market by +1.63 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.