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APG APi Group Corporation

Industrials

44.34 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +76.7%
Open
44.34
High
45.18
Low
43.70
Prev close
45.02
Volume
4M
Amplitude
3.29%
P/B
5.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+16.4%
52W 34.87 49.99

Is APi Group Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey, Growth: Weak.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E -70.38 N/A
Price / book 5.41 84th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.57 61th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but Operating margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 10.52 66th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 6.94 50th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 7.56 56th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Weak Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 16.36 71th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -271.94 8th percentile Lagging
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 7.49 83th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 18.71 70th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 119,637,157 89th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 32.06 37th percentile Good

APi Group Corporation (APG) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From APi Group Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of APi Group Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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APi Group Corporation (APG) peers and tracking

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APi Group Corporation (APG) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 16.36%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 historical occurrences (since 2022-05-04)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 28.6%, Sample 7, Median -5.81%, Excess -1.78%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

60-day: Win 28.6%, Sample 7, Median -3.88%, Excess +0.04%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

120-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 7, Median +15.6%, Excess +6.84%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

120 days after: historical avg +11.7%

20-day -1.13%
60-day +2.61%
120-day +11.7%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
28.6%
28.6%
57.1%
Sample
7
7
7
Median
-5.81%
-3.88%
+15.6%
Excess
-1.78%
+0.04%
+6.84%
Beat mkt rate
42.9%
57.1%
57.1%

Over 7 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.7%, beat the market by 6.84 pts; win rate 57.1%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 6.27%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

16 historical occurrences (since 2020-06-02)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 53.3%, Sample 15, Median +2.66%, Excess +0.82%, Beat mkt rate 60%

60-day: Win 53.3%, Sample 15, Median +2.28%, Excess +0.73%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%

120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 15, Median +17.56%, Excess +3.24%, Beat mkt rate 60%

120 days after: historical avg +12.95%

20-day +3.39%
60-day +6.85%
120-day +12.95%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.3%
53.3%
66.7%
Sample
15
15
15
Median
+2.66%
+2.28%
+17.56%
Excess
+0.82%
+0.73%
+3.24%
Beat mkt rate
60%
53.3%
60%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 12.95%, beat the market by 3.24 pts; win rate 66.7%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.48%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +1.52 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

10 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.42%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +2.95 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.