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AR Antero Resources Corporation

Energy

40.64 -1.44 -3.41% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +32.4%
Open
41.17
High
41.88
Low
40.52
Prev close
42.08
Volume
4.2M
Amplitude
3.23%
P/E
9.5
P/B
1.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+22.9%
52W 31.08 45.75

Is Antero Resources Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Strong, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top; Price / book is Fair.
TTM P/E 9.5 23th percentile Fair
Price / book 1.5 50th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 9.93 81th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 15.91 77th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 24.26 77th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 21.23 78th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 22.87 77th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 154.6 88th percentile Top
Momentum Strong 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 20.57 92th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 22.47 73th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 175,672,868 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 35.98 41th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Antero Resources Corporation (AR) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Antero Resources Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Antero Resources Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Antero Resources Corporation

Antero Resources Corporation (AR) peers and tracking

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Antero Resources Corporation (AR) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 22.87%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

12 historical occurrences (since 2018-10-31)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 11, Median -5.4%, Excess -0.35%, Beat mkt rate 36.4%

60-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 11, Median -11.36%, Excess -1.94%, Beat mkt rate 27.3%

120-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -0.46%, Excess -1.14%, Beat mkt rate 36.4%

120 days after: historical avg +2.51%

20-day +0.39%
60-day -1.4%
120-day +2.51%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
36.4%
36.4%
45.5%
Sample
11
11
11
Median
-5.4%
-11.36%
-0.46%
Excess
-0.35%
-1.94%
-1.14%
Beat mkt rate
36.4%
27.3%
36.4%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.51%, lagged the market by 1.14 pts; win rate 45.5%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 22.3%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
21 historical occurrences (since 2015-02-25)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 47.1%, Sample 17, Median -1.93%, Excess +1.82%, Beat mkt rate 47.1%

60-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +0.66%, Excess +10.72%, Beat mkt rate 52.9%

120-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +2.63%, Excess +9.34%, Beat mkt rate 41.2%

120 days after: historical avg +16.74%

20-day +1.95%
60-day +14.11%
120-day +16.74%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
47.1%
52.9%
52.9%
Sample
17
17
17
Median
-1.93%
+0.66%
+2.63%
Excess
+1.82%
+10.72%
+9.34%
Beat mkt rate
47.1%
52.9%
41.2%

Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 16.74%, beat the market by 9.34 pts; win rate 52.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 7Insufficient data
20-40 You are here36+12.5% +6% 91.7% -12.8%
40-60 184+26.7% +16.6% 90.2% +6.1%
60-80 66-3.6% -3.4% 31.8% -25.6%
80-100 232+16.3% +14.4% 70.7% -4.3%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 9.50, placing it in the 29.3 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
Insufficient data
(7d)
-0.9%
Win rate 48.9% Excess -13.4%
184d
-3.9%
Win rate 33.9% Excess -13.9%
183d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(7d)
+26.1%
Win rate 98.7% Excess +16.8%
153d
+21.9%
Win rate 73.9% Excess +10.7%
111d

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.78%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +11.04 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.88%, win rate 36.4%, beating the market by +0.51 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.