Skip to main content

AWK American Water Works Company, Inc.

Utilities

147.43 +3.06 +2.12% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +11.3%
Open
143.87
High
148.15
Low
143.50
Prev close
144.37
Volume
2M
Amplitude
3.22%
P/E
25.0
P/B
2.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+5.4%
52W 120.57 148.15

Is American Water Works Company, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Average; Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 24.98 62th percentile Pricey
Price / book 2.41 65th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -4.03 34th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Top, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 9.52 64th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 37.04 87th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) -21.65 23th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 5.38 49th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 1.4 56th percentile Good
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 7.79 83th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 11.92 64th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 260,388,518 94th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 21.73 24th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From American Water Works Company, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of American Water Works Company, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like American Water Works Company, Inc.

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add American Water Works Company, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

19 historical occurrences (since 2017-09-11)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 61.1%, Sample 18, Median +1.61%, Excess -0.7%, Beat mkt rate 55.6%

60-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 18, Median +1.66%, Excess -3.67%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

120-day: Win 50%, Sample 18, Median +0.81%, Excess -5.95%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120 days after: historical avg +2.57%

20-day -0.64%
60-day +0.67%
120-day +2.57%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
61.1%
55.6%
50%
Sample
18
18
18
Median
+1.61%
+1.66%
+0.81%
Excess
-0.7%
-3.67%
-5.95%
Beat mkt rate
55.6%
44.4%
33.3%

Over 18 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.57%, lagged the market by 5.95 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 590+1.6% +1.2% 53.9% -13.5%
20-40 You are here340-3.5% -4.3% 31.8% -23.3%
40-60 46+11.1% +9.9% 80.4% -10%
60-80 78+9.4% +8% 71.8% -4.3%
80-100 383+4.4% +8.2% 59.3% -7.1%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 24.98, placing it in the 25.5 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
-3%
Win rate 29.5% Excess -12.4%
413d
-6.3%
Win rate 8.1% Excess -10.8%
37d
+2.4%
Win rate 63.9% Excess -7.2%
332d
60-day momentum down
+3.6%
Win rate 57.9% Excess -3.2%
568d
+7%
Win rate 51% Excess -1.5%
96d
+7.2%
Win rate 64.9% Excess +2.3%
111d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 413 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 3%, win rate 29.5%, lagged the market by 12.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.19%, win rate 40%, beating the market by -5.01 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.17%, win rate 70%, beating the market by -0.83 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.