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BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Defensive

110.67 +3.35 +3.12% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +12.7%
Open
106.95
High
110.94
Low
106.19
Prev close
107.32
Volume
2M
Amplitude
4.43%
P/E
23.5
P/B
6.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+9.1%
52W 83.21 110.94

Is BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 23.48 60th percentile Pricey
Price / book 6.17 86th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.69 57th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Top, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 27.05 86th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 3.9 44th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 1.6 43th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 9.09 59th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 4.82 58th percentile Good
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 10.43 86th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 13.71 66th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 212,748,634 93th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 31.41 36th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) peers and tracking

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BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

17 historical occurrences (since 2020-03-18)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 56.2%, Sample 16, Median +1.16%, Excess -0.96%, Beat mkt rate 50%

60-day: Win 68.8%, Sample 16, Median +4.68%, Excess -0.94%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 75%, Sample 16, Median +4.11%, Excess -4.11%, Beat mkt rate 25%

120 days after: historical avg +6.8%

20-day +0.35%
60-day +4.49%
120-day +6.8%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
56.2%
68.8%
75%
Sample
16
16
16
Median
+1.16%
+4.68%
+4.11%
Excess
-0.96%
-0.94%
-4.11%
Beat mkt rate
50%
50%
25%

Over 16 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.8%, lagged the market by 4.11 pts; win rate 75%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 13Insufficient data
20-40 219+27.9% +29.3% 91.8% +5.1%
40-60 314+14.9% +12.5% 66.9% +5.4%
60-80 296+5.9% +5.8% 64.5% -0.1%
80-100 You are here217-4.7% -10.6% 22.6% -22.2%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 23.48, placing it in the 81.5 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(25d)
+4%
Win rate 65.7% Excess +0.5%
367d
Now
+0.7%
Win rate 49.7% Excess -6.9%
310d
60-day momentum down
+17.2%
Win rate 85.3% Excess +7.3%
136d
+6.7%
Win rate 58.3% Excess +2.5%
240d
+3.5%
Win rate 47.5% Excess -1.2%
101d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 310 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 0.7%, win rate 49.7%, lagged the market by 6.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.31%, win rate 55%, beating the market by -1.23 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.97%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by -2.49 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

23 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.7%, win rate 68.2%, beating the market by -0.17 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.