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BOX Box, Inc.

Technology

39.56

Close 10/16

P/E
56.8
P/B
37.1
52W 21.34 40.79
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Is Box, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-16

Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 56.83 85th percentile Expensive
Price / book 37.11 98th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 6.99 74th percentile Good
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; Operating margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 79.72 94th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 9.43 55th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 30.76 86th percentile Top
Growth Neutral Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 9.63 60th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -44.03 38th percentile Average
Momentum Strong 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 39.89 96th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 23.28 75th percentile Good
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 83,663,511 86th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 34.23 38th percentile Good

Box, Inc. (BOX) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-16

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Box, Inc. (BOX) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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Box, Inc. (BOX) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

18 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-11)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +1.44%, Excess -1.48%, Beat mkt rate 47.1%；60-day: Win 50%, Sample 16, Median +0.24%, Excess -6.34%, Beat mkt rate 31.2%；120-day: Win 43.8%, Sample 16, Median -4.63%, Excess -10.37%, Beat mkt rate 37.5%

120 days after: historical avg -5.58%

20-day -0.63%
60-day -2.9%
120-day -5.58%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.9%
50%
43.8%
Sample
17
16
16
Median
+1.44%
+0.24%
-4.63%
Excess
-1.48%
-6.34%
-10.37%
Beat mkt rate
47.1%
31.2%
37.5%

Over 16 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 5.58%, lagged the market by 10.37 pts; win rate 43.8%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 94.4%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

29 historical occurrences (since 2016-09-29)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 39.3%, Sample 28, Median -3.27%, Excess -3.57%, Beat mkt rate 39.3%；60-day: Win 37%, Sample 27, Median -3.93%, Excess -5.98%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%；120-day: Win 51.9%, Sample 27, Median +1.12%, Excess -6.73%, Beat mkt rate 37%

120 days after: historical avg -1.43%

20-day -2.76%
60-day -2.67%
120-day -1.43%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
39.3%
37%
51.9%
Sample
28
27
27
Median
-3.27%
-3.93%
+1.12%
Excess
-3.57%
-5.98%
-6.73%
Beat mkt rate
39.3%
33.3%
37%

Over 27 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.43%, lagged the market by 6.73 pts; win rate 51.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 You are here0Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 56.83, placing it in the 72.3 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
Now
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(0d)
+46.2%
Win rate 100% Excess +32.3%
35d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,524 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.48%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.13 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.53%, win rate 40%, beating the market by +2.43 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.73%, win rate 53.6%, beating the market by -1.84 pts on average.

Continue researching Box, Inc. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.