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BROS Dutch Bros Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

43.87 +1.00 +2.33% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -21.3%
Open
42.60
High
45.17
Low
42.60
Prev close
42.87
Volume
5.8M
Amplitude
5.99%
P/E
59.5
P/B
7.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+29.6%
52W 36.51 74.02

Is Dutch Bros Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 59.54 86th percentile Expensive
Price / book 7.23 89th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 1.65 53th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 11.58 69th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 9.66 55th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 5.05 51th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top; Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 29.65 81th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 52.77 78th percentile Good
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -19.61 28th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -20.18 32th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 177,173,087 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 39.82 46th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Dutch Bros Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Dutch Bros Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) peers and tracking

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Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 29.65%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

6 historical occurrences (since 2022-05-12)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 6, Median -7.42%, Excess +1.27%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 6, Median +8.19%, Excess +9.56%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120-day: Win 40%, Sample 5, Median -8.65%, Excess -6.09%, Beat mkt rate 20%

120 days after: historical avg -1.85%

20-day +0.86%
60-day +10.56%
120-day -1.85%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
33.3%
66.7%
40%
Sample
6
6
5
Median
-7.42%
+8.19%
-8.65%
Excess
+1.27%
+9.56%
-6.09%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
66.7%
20%

Over 5 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.85%, lagged the market by 6.09 pts; win rate 40%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 59.54, placing it in the 3.7 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
Now
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.83%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +5.4 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.02%, win rate 33.3%, beating the market by +1.55 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.