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BWA BorgWarner Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

51.75 +0.12 +0.23% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +54.0%
Open
52.14
High
52.29
Low
51.05
Prev close
51.63
Volume
2.6M
Amplitude
2.40%
P/E
22.0
P/B
1.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+0.4%
52W 40.73 78.82

Is BorgWarner Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 21.97 57th percentile Pricey
Price / book 1.83 56th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 11.38 84th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 8.43 61th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 9.95 56th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 8.29 58th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 0.43 36th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 273.02 92th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral 240-day return is Good, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -21.33 26th percentile Average
240-day return (%) 16.64 68th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 174,882,341 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 35 40th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From BorgWarner Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of BorgWarner Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like BorgWarner Inc.

BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) peers and tracking

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BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 11.2%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
34 historical occurrences (since 2017-04-27)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 33, Median -0.92%, Excess -0.08%, Beat mkt rate 39.4%

60-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 33, Median -3.37%, Excess -2.3%, Beat mkt rate 39.4%

120-day: Win 46.9%, Sample 32, Median -0.81%, Excess -1.6%, Beat mkt rate 40.6%

120 days after: historical avg +4.45%

20-day +0.7%
60-day +0.45%
120-day +4.45%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.5%
36.4%
46.9%
Sample
33
33
32
Median
-0.92%
-3.37%
-0.81%
Excess
-0.08%
-2.3%
-1.6%
Beat mkt rate
39.4%
39.4%
40.6%

Over 32 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.45%, lagged the market by 1.6 pts; win rate 46.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 249+28.7% +28.9% 68.3% +2.6%
20-40 612+4% -2.1% 44.9% -9%
40-60 220+7% +10.8% 62.3% -1.6%
60-80 You are here235+21.2% +12.5% 59.6% +7.8%
80-100 134+69.7% +62.9% 100% +51%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 21.97, placing it in the 65.3 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-2.5%
Win rate 39.4% Excess -9.8%
259d
+2.3%
Win rate 50.8% Excess -3.7%
266d
+21.6%
Win rate 81.9% Excess +11.9%
326d
60-day momentum down
+9.3%
Win rate 60.8% Excess -0.9%
395d
Now
+3.1%
Win rate 45.7% Excess +2.3%
223d
+39.3%
Win rate 91.1% Excess +25.9%
101d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 223 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 3.1%, win rate 45.7%, beat the market by 2.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.13%, win rate 52.9%, beating the market by -0.72 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.69%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -2.22 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg -8.78%, win rate 0%, beating the market by -10.69 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.