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CCK Crown Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

119.24 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +31.7%
Open
119.64
High
120.40
Low
117.98
Prev close
118.20
Volume
719.1K
Amplitude
2.05%
P/E
16.6
P/B
4.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+13.4%
52W 91.31 122.91

Is Crown Holdings, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 16.61 45th percentile Fair
Price / book 4.39 80th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 7.57 76th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 27.05 86th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 13.18 62th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 7.08 55th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 13.38 67th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -11.14 50th percentile Average
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) -1.54 63th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 23.95 74th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 97,066,183 87th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 19.12 20th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Crown Holdings, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Crown Holdings, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Crown Holdings, Inc.

Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) peers and tracking

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Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 13.38%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 historical occurrences (since 2018-08-02)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 8, Median +1.38%, Excess +1.68%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 8, Median +3.71%, Excess +3.76%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 7, Median +12.21%, Excess +9.98%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%

120 days after: historical avg +8.49%

20-day +2.76%
60-day +1.51%
120-day +8.49%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
62.5%
50%
71.4%
Sample
8
8
7
Median
+1.38%
+3.71%
+12.21%
Excess
+1.68%
+3.76%
+9.98%
Beat mkt rate
62.5%
50%
71.4%

Over 7 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.49%, beat the market by 9.98 pts; win rate 71.4%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 5.75%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
23 historical occurrences (since 2016-04-20)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 72.7%, Sample 22, Median +1.97%, Excess +1.1%, Beat mkt rate 63.6%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 22, Median +2.48%, Excess +0.28%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%

120-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 21, Median +5.67%, Excess -1.01%, Beat mkt rate 38.1%

120 days after: historical avg +5.14%

20-day +1.61%
60-day +3.08%
120-day +5.14%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
72.7%
50%
71.4%
Sample
22
22
21
Median
+1.97%
+2.48%
+5.67%
Excess
+1.1%
+0.28%
-1.01%
Beat mkt rate
63.6%
45.5%
38.1%

Over 21 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.14%, lagged the market by 1.01 pts; win rate 71.4%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 107+18.2% +2.1% 60.7% -11.8%
20-40 You are here82+15.4% +16.6% 58.5% -8%
40-60 212+23.3% +17.6% 92.5% -1.2%
60-80 328+2.8% -2.8% 46% -10.5%
80-100 463+8.2% +11.8% 70% -6.7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 16.61, placing it in the 20.9 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+5%
Win rate 84.6% Excess -4.5%
123d
+6.2%
Win rate 48.8% Excess -7.3%
164d
+2.1%
Win rate 58.3% Excess -5.4%
539d
60-day momentum down
Now
+14.3%
Win rate 88.9% Excess +2.3%
153d
+13.7%
Win rate 82.2% Excess +1.9%
174d
+8.7%
Win rate 84.9% Excess +3.7%
159d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 153 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 14.3%, win rate 88.9%, beat the market by 2.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

22 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.81%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -3.26 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.57%, win rate 58.8%, beating the market by -2.34 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.