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CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.

Technology

152.11 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -16.5%
Open
155.00
High
155.10
Low
148.01
Prev close
153.50
Volume
2.5M
Amplitude
4.62%
P/E
15.6
P/B
5.7
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+4.6%
52W 112.23 206.43

Is Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 15.57 43th percentile Fair
Price / book 5.72 85th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 7.75 76th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 38.31 90th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 29.02 82th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 43.89 91th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 4.64 47th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 27.21 70th percentile Good
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) 21.42 93th percentile Top
240-day return (%) -22.99 30th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 201,108,480 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 36.34 41th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) peers and tracking

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Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 85.48%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
12 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-30)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -4.41%, Excess -3.54%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

60-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 11, Median -1.06%, Excess -6%, Beat mkt rate 27.3%

120-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 11, Median +2.14%, Excess -9.11%, Beat mkt rate 18.2%

120 days after: historical avg -1.54%

20-day -2.87%
60-day -2.03%
120-day -1.54%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.5%
36.4%
54.5%
Sample
11
11
11
Median
-4.41%
-1.06%
+2.14%
Excess
-3.54%
-6%
-9.11%
Beat mkt rate
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.54%, lagged the market by 9.11 pts; win rate 54.5%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here445+14.2% +12.5% 87.9% +0.6%
20-40 274+10.8% +4.3% 71.5% -3.4%
40-60 169+14.5% +12.4% 74.6% -1.9%
60-80 91+11.8% +4.9% 50.5% -0.5%
80-100 429-9% -9% 37.8% -24.8%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 15.57, placing it in the 6.1 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
+7.3%
Win rate 68.2% Excess -3%
289d
-1.9%
Win rate 40.3% Excess -10.8%
196d
-1.4%
Win rate 50.9% Excess -8.5%
344d
60-day momentum down
+5.1%
Win rate 75.7% Excess -1.1%
436d
+4%
Win rate 73.4% Excess -4.6%
94d
-1.6%
Win rate 41.5% Excess -6.7%
159d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 289 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.3%, win rate 68.2%, lagged the market by 3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.2%, win rate 46.7%, beating the market by -2.27 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.05%, win rate 60%, beating the market by -4.53 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.