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CPAY Corpay, Inc.

Technology

409.29 +8.35 +2.08% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +4.7%
Open
404.23
High
412.08
Low
404.23
Prev close
400.94
Volume
364.8K
Amplitude
1.96%
P/E
24.4
P/B
7.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+20.4%
52W 256.17 427.46

Is Corpay, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 24.4 61th percentile Pricey
Price / book 7.43 89th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 6.22 71th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 32.21 88th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 40.8 89th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 32.63 87th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 20.36 75th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 11.62 62th percentile Good
Momentum Good 240-day return is Top; 60-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 0.67 70th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 43.67 85th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 184,825,676 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 21.34 23th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Corpay, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Corpay, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Corpay, Inc.

Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) peers and tracking

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Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 83.79%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
13 historical occurrences (since 2017-10-31)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 13, Median +2.27%, Excess +0.94%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%

60-day: Win 41.7%, Sample 12, Median -1.04%, Excess -0.85%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%

120-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -5.13%, Excess -5.38%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%

120 days after: historical avg -2.7%

20-day +0.79%
60-day +1.21%
120-day -2.7%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.8%
41.7%
45.5%
Sample
13
12
11
Median
+2.27%
-1.04%
-5.13%
Excess
+0.94%
-0.85%
-5.38%
Beat mkt rate
53.8%
41.7%
45.5%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 2.7%, lagged the market by 5.38 pts; win rate 45.5%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 20.36%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2021-12-31)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 85.7%, Sample 7, Median +1.54%, Excess +3.15%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%

60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 6, Median +9.49%, Excess +6.21%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median +2.6%, Excess +3.57%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120 days after: historical avg +1.51%

20-day +1.26%
60-day +5.08%
120-day +1.51%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
85.7%
66.7%
50%
Sample
7
6
6
Median
+1.54%
+9.49%
+2.6%
Excess
+3.15%
+6.21%
+3.57%
Beat mkt rate
71.4%
66.7%
66.7%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.51%, beat the market by 3.57 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 666+16.3% +18.9% 73.1% +2%
20-40 449+7.6% +7.3% 71.9% -7.4%
40-60 You are here196-10.8% -11.4% 11.7% -26.9%
60-80 98-15.3% -15.6% 2% -31.9%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 24.40, placing it in the 46.7 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+6.9%
Win rate 68.8% Excess +0.4%
491d
Now
-2.3%
Win rate 39.1% Excess -10.5%
281d
-6.6%
Win rate 2% Excess -19.6%
51d
60-day momentum down
+8.9%
Win rate 63.6% Excess +1.5%
602d
-5.1%
Win rate 29.8% Excess -16.1%
104d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 281 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 2.3%, win rate 39.1%, lagged the market by 10.5%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.36%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -2.14 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.