Skip to main content

DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

81.99 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -59.4%
Open
83.00
High
83.54
Low
81.56
Prev close
82.76
Volume
2.6M
Amplitude
2.39%
P/E
10.9
P/B
4.7
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+6.3%
52W 77.20 122.29

Is Deckers Outdoor Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 10.87 28th percentile Fair
Price / book 4.71 81th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 9.62 81th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 45.65 91th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 23.59 76th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 18.87 75th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 6.34 52th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 12.04 62th percentile Good
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -16.23 32th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -1 50th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 284,021,760 95th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 32.18 37th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Deckers Outdoor Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Deckers Outdoor Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Deckers Outdoor Corporation to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 13.41%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
38 historical occurrences (since 2015-10-29)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 69.4%, Sample 36, Median +4.97%, Excess +3.9%, Beat mkt rate 72.2%

60-day: Win 63.9%, Sample 36, Median +8.75%, Excess +5.26%, Beat mkt rate 58.3%

120-day: Win 70.6%, Sample 34, Median +26.45%, Excess +11.46%, Beat mkt rate 70.6%

120 days after: historical avg +18.52%

20-day +4.75%
60-day +8.86%
120-day +18.52%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
69.4%
63.9%
70.6%
Sample
36
36
34
Median
+4.97%
+8.75%
+26.45%
Excess
+3.9%
+5.26%
+11.46%
Beat mkt rate
72.2%
58.3%
70.6%

Over 34 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.52%, beat the market by 11.46 pts; win rate 70.6%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here387+18% -4.1% 41.6% -1.5%
20-40 149+62.5% +60.4% 100% +57.3%
40-60 466+53.2% +65.1% 80% +37.4%
60-80 385+21.2% +11.6% 53% +8.1%
80-100 126+8.3% -10.4% 43.7% -7.7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 10.87, placing it in the 0.0 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-13.9%
Win rate 24% Excess -16.5%
250d
+26.6%
Win rate 93.8% Excess +17.3%
548d
+18.6%
Win rate 80.1% Excess +8.9%
321d
60-day momentum down
+14%
Win rate 59.2% Excess +7.1%
355d
+5.8%
Win rate 43.8% Excess +6.9%
137d
Insufficient data
(22d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.45%, win rate 65.5%, beating the market by 0 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.39%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +3.65 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.34%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by +0.87 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.