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DOW Dow Inc.

Basic Materials

34.70 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -13.2%
Open
33.75
High
34.85
Low
33.63
Prev close
33.62
Volume
11.1M
Amplitude
3.63%
P/B
1.6
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+4.2%
52W 20.93 42.74

Is Dow Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E -27.11 N/A
Price / book 1.56 51th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 4 62th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral All 3 indicators are Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -5.01 34th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 1.29 39th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 2.36 44th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 4.16 46th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -20.76 46th percentile Average
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 15.83 90th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 58.71 89th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 265,567,048 94th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 32.35 37th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Dow Inc. (DOW) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Dow Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Dow Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Dow Inc.

Dow Inc. (DOW) peers and tracking

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Dow Inc. (DOW) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 11.29%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
22 historical occurrences (since 2019-10-24)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 21, Median +0.85%, Excess +0.45%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

60-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 21, Median +2.48%, Excess -0.99%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

120-day: Win 55%, Sample 20, Median +1.03%, Excess -3.54%, Beat mkt rate 35%

120 days after: historical avg +3.17%

20-day +1.8%
60-day +2.48%
120-day +3.17%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
66.7%
57.1%
55%
Sample
21
21
20
Median
+0.85%
+2.48%
+1.03%
Excess
+0.45%
-0.99%
-3.54%
Beat mkt rate
42.9%
42.9%
35%

Over 20 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.17%, lagged the market by 3.54 pts; win rate 55%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.44%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -4.81 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.