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DVN Devon Energy Corporation

Energy

48.63 -3.52 -6.74% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +46.2%
Open
50.97
High
51.46
Low
48.50
Prev close
52.15
Volume
11.3M
Amplitude
5.68%
P/E
12.4
P/B
1.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+17.0%
52W 31.91 52.71

Is Devon Energy Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair All 3 indicators are Fair.
TTM P/E 12.39 34th percentile Fair
Price / book 1.37 46th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3 58th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 7.86 59th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 23.55 76th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 8.79 59th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 16.96 71th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -5.82 53th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 21.72 93th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 49.24 87th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 430,232,696 97th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 31.16 36th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Devon Energy Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Devon Energy Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) peers and tracking

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Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

11 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-05)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median +2%, Excess +3.21%, Beat mkt rate 50%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median -0.38%, Excess -2.13%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120-day: Win 60%, Sample 10, Median +12.18%, Excess -1.26%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +5.31%

20-day +4.23%
60-day +2.32%
120-day +5.31%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
50%
60%
Sample
10
10
10
Median
+2%
-0.38%
+12.18%
Excess
+3.21%
-2.13%
-1.26%
Beat mkt rate
50%
40%
50%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.31%, lagged the market by 1.26 pts; win rate 60%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 16.96%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2021-08-04)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 85.7%, Sample 7, Median +11.66%, Excess +9.91%, Beat mkt rate 85.7%

60-day: Win 85.7%, Sample 7, Median +22.88%, Excess +24.76%, Beat mkt rate 85.7%

120-day: Win 100%, Sample 6, Median +32.63%, Excess +42.03%, Beat mkt rate 83.3%

120 days after: historical avg +42.64%

20-day +10.59%
60-day +25.46%
120-day +42.64%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
85.7%
85.7%
100%
Sample
7
7
6
Median
+11.66%
+22.88%
+32.63%
Excess
+9.91%
+24.76%
+42.03%
Beat mkt rate
85.7%
85.7%
83.3%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 42.64%, beat the market by 42.03 pts; win rate 100%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 81+4.5% +2.5% 65.4% -19.7%
20-40 307-1.5% -7% 29% -21.5%
40-60 463-0.2% -11.6% 35% -16.1%
60-80 You are here111-7.4% -13.7% 31.5% -5.5%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 12.39, placing it in the 76.8 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-14.6%
Win rate 6.1% Excess -22.5%
33d
+4.1%
Win rate 53.7% Excess -1.6%
376d
Now
+7.9%
Win rate 85.4% Excess +2.4%
103d
60-day momentum down
-3%
Win rate 33.6% Excess -12.5%
244d
-0.3%
Win rate 51.2% Excess -7.5%
326d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 103 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.9%, win rate 85.4%, beat the market by 2.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.75%, win rate 56.2%, beating the market by +7.16 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.15%, win rate 57.7%, beating the market by +5.49 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.