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DX Dynex Capital, Inc.

Real Estate

10.93

Close 10/16

P/E
4.2
P/B
0.8
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Is Dynex Capital, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-16

Valuation: Cheap, Quality: Strong, Growth: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Cheap TTM P/E is Cheap; Price / book is Fair.
TTM P/E 4.16 7th percentile Cheap
Price / book 0.85 26th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 8.75 79th percentile Good
Quality Strong Operating margin, TTM is Top; ROE, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 13.74 73th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 101.8 98th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 26.68 83th percentile Top
Growth Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 134.15 93th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 226.79 91th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -10.88 38th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -4.94 47th percentile Average
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 88,099,498 86th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 17.84 19th percentile Top

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-16

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) peers and tracking

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Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 134.15%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

12 historical occurrences (since 2018-08-07)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 58.3%, Sample 12, Median +0.53%, Excess -3.46%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%；60-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -4.28%, Excess -4.3%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%；120-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 11, Median +1.54%, Excess -0.54%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

120 days after: historical avg +4.68%

20-day -3.97%
60-day -2.69%
120-day +4.68%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.3%
45.5%
63.6%
Sample
12
11
11
Median
+0.53%
-4.28%
+1.54%
Excess
-3.46%
-4.3%
-0.54%
Beat mkt rate
41.7%
45.5%
54.5%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.68%, lagged the market by 0.54 pts; win rate 63.6%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 39-7.1% -8.6% 17.9% +2.2%
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 You are here46+28.3% +29.4% 100% -18.1%
60-80 214+2.4% +0.1% 50.5% -6.2%
80-100 634+12% +17.4% 76% -4%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 4.16, placing it in the 50.6 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(16d)
Insufficient data
(18d)
+3.8%
Win rate 67.7% Excess -2.7%
588d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(23d)
Now
+6.6%
Win rate 71.1% Excess -12.2%
97d
+4.8%
Win rate 63.3% Excess +1.1%
311d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 97 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.6%, win rate 71.1%, lagged the market by 12.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,524 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.48%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.13 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

19 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.23%, win rate 52.6%, beating the market by -4.58 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.12%, win rate 92.9%, beating the market by +0.77 pts on average.

Continue researching Dynex Capital, Inc. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.