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ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

Consumer Defensive

110.68 -1.01 -0.90% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -14.6%
Open
114.37
High
115.00
Low
109.77
Prev close
111.69
Volume
1.3M
Amplitude
4.68%
P/E
111.7
P/B
5.6
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+31.2%
52W 48.82 123.07

Is e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Expensive.
TTM P/E 111.66 93th percentile Expensive
Price / book 5.64 85th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 4.25 63th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 5.1 54th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 10.5 57th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 15.9 70th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 31.23 82th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -40.81 38th percentile Average
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 20.99 92th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 51.94 88th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 134,212,117 90th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 41.83 48th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 96.94%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
16 historical occurrences (since 2019-04-18)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 81.2%, Sample 16, Median +13.58%, Excess +9.59%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

60-day: Win 80%, Sample 15, Median +19.45%, Excess +14.05%, Beat mkt rate 73.3%

120-day: Win 73.3%, Sample 15, Median +16.68%, Excess +16.83%, Beat mkt rate 73.3%

120 days after: historical avg +24.29%

20-day +11.67%
60-day +18.4%
120-day +24.29%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
81.2%
80%
73.3%
Sample
16
15
15
Median
+13.58%
+19.45%
+16.68%
Excess
+9.59%
+14.05%
+16.83%
Beat mkt rate
62.5%
73.3%
73.3%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 24.29%, beat the market by 16.83 pts; win rate 73.3%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 31.23%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

14 historical occurrences (since 2017-08-11)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 78.6%, Sample 14, Median +9.5%, Excess +7.01%, Beat mkt rate 78.6%

60-day: Win 64.3%, Sample 14, Median +6.64%, Excess +9.64%, Beat mkt rate 64.3%

120-day: Win 75%, Sample 12, Median +7.86%, Excess +13.23%, Beat mkt rate 58.3%

120 days after: historical avg +20.98%

20-day +8.87%
60-day +13.06%
120-day +20.98%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
78.6%
64.3%
75%
Sample
14
14
12
Median
+9.5%
+6.64%
+7.86%
Excess
+7.01%
+9.64%
+13.23%
Beat mkt rate
78.6%
64.3%
58.3%

Over 12 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 20.98%, beat the market by 13.23 pts; win rate 75%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 67+18.4% +16.2% 94% -1.8%
20-40 171-1.5% +3.9% 54.4% -24%
40-60 410+66.5% -0.6% 49.8% +56.9%
60-80 414+72.8% +75.5% 76.6% +61.5%
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 111.66, placing it in the 82.0 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+4.3%
Win rate 53.7% Excess -7.8%
41d
+24.7%
Win rate 54.3% Excess +19.4%
506d
Now
+5.5%
Win rate 53.9% Excess +0.9%
191d
60-day momentum down
+37%
Win rate 64.6% Excess +26.4%
240d
+20.2%
Win rate 56.7% Excess +19.3%
203d
Insufficient data
(1d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 191 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 5.5%, win rate 53.9%, beat the market by 0.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.61%, win rate 61.9%, beating the market by +0.97 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

36 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.48%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by +4.52 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.