Skip to main content

EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.

Real Estate

26.09

Close 10/16

P/E
20.2
P/B
1.3
52W 24.62 34.73
Loading candles…

Is Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-16

Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Price / book is Fair, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 20.22 52th percentile Pricey
Price / book 1.28 42th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -2.5 34th percentile Average
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Top, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 6.08 54th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 60.54 94th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) -21.21 21th percentile Average
Growth Good Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top; Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 31.95 82th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 9.32 61th percentile Good
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -17.72 28th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -8.8 44th percentile Average
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 62,893,901 83th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 17.47 19th percentile Top

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-16

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (EPRT) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 31.95%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

11 historical occurrences (since 2021-07-28)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 11, Median +2.6%, Excess -1.02%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%

60-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 11, Median +0.54%, Excess -2.83%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

120-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median +0.19%, Excess -2.65%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120 days after: historical avg +3.64%

20-day +1.03%
60-day +1.45%
120-day +3.64%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.5%
54.5%
50%
Sample
11
11
10
Median
+2.6%
+0.54%
+0.19%
Excess
-1.02%
-2.83%
-2.65%
Beat mkt rate
45.5%
54.5%
40%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.64%, lagged the market by 2.65 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here383+25.7% +23.9% 99.7% +5.9%
20-40 255+8.3% +8.4% 83.9% -1.9%
40-60 339-0.3% +0.1% 52.2% -13.7%
60-80 28Insufficient data
80-100 65-22.1% -20.6% 0% -10.9%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 20.22, placing it in the 5.9 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+10.2%
Win rate 81.3% Excess +1.1%
347d
-3%
Win rate 35.9% Excess -9.9%
273d
-14.5%
Win rate 0% Excess -12.7%
70d
60-day momentum down
Now
+10.5%
Win rate 81.7% Excess +3.4%
263d
-2.9%
Win rate 45.7% Excess -2.9%
232d
Insufficient data
(5d)

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 263 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 10.5%, win rate 81.7%, beat the market by 3.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,524 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.48%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.13 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.68%, win rate 60%, beating the market by -2.27 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.66%, win rate 54.5%, beating the market by -0.57 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.53%, win rate 68.8%, beating the market by +1.06 pts on average.

Continue researching Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. with the evidence above.

Continue in Studio ↗

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.