Skip to main content

EXE Expand Energy Corporation

Energy

90.55 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -2.9%
Open
90.82
High
91.65
Low
89.80
Prev close
90.44
Volume
2.2M
Amplitude
2.05%
P/E
7.8
P/B
1.1
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+26.2%
52W 83.25 126.62

Is Expand Energy Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top; Price / book is Fair.
TTM P/E 7.85 19th percentile Cheap
Price / book 1.07 36th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 11.74 85th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 14.12 74th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 24.76 78th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 17.93 74th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 26.21 79th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 228.77 90th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral 60-day return is Good, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -0.94 65th percentile Good
240-day return (%) -21.44 31th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 300,137,036 95th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 26.13 29th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Expand Energy Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Expand Energy Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Expand Energy Corporation

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Expand Energy Corporation to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 13.18%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
12 historical occurrences (since 2022-08-02)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 81.8%, Sample 11, Median +7.59%, Excess +5.51%, Beat mkt rate 72.7%

60-day: Win 81.8%, Sample 11, Median +7.05%, Excess +3.24%, Beat mkt rate 72.7%

120-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median -1.05%, Excess -5.35%, Beat mkt rate 30%

120 days after: historical avg +1.33%

20-day +6%
60-day +6.78%
120-day +1.33%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
81.8%
81.8%
50%
Sample
11
11
10
Median
+7.59%
+7.05%
-1.05%
Excess
+5.51%
+3.24%
-5.35%
Beat mkt rate
72.7%
72.7%
30%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.33%, lagged the market by 5.35 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 You are here0Insufficient data
60-80 14Insufficient data
80-100 87-7.2% -10.2% 24.1% -25.7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 7.85, placing it in the 42.7 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(7d)
-8.7%
Win rate 26% Excess -17.1%
100d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(0d)
Now
-8%
Win rate 0% Excess -19.4%
51d
+4.4%
Win rate 74.6% Excess -1.7%
63d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 51 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 8%, win rate 0%, lagged the market by 19.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.08%, win rate 41.7%, beating the market by +0.26 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.71%, win rate 62.5%, beating the market by +6.24 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.27%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +5.3 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.