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EXPD Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Industrials

198.85 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +66.5%
Open
198.92
High
199.76
Low
198.17
Prev close
198.39
Volume
1.6M
Amplitude
0.80%
P/E
28.9
P/B
12.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+6.8%
52W 118.94 200.66

Is Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 28.94 67th percentile Pricey
Price / book 12.2 94th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.57 61th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; Operating margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 43.39 91th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 9.83 56th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 7.68 57th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 6.77 53th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 12.25 62th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 11.36 87th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 45.14 86th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 220,558,479 93th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 19.02 20th percentile Top
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) peers and tracking

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Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

29 historical occurrences (since 2017-02-17)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 53.6%, Sample 28, Median +0.25%, Excess -2.02%, Beat mkt rate 32.1%

60-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 27, Median +0.8%, Excess -1.66%, Beat mkt rate 37%

120-day: Win 65.4%, Sample 26, Median +4.2%, Excess -0.32%, Beat mkt rate 38.5%

120 days after: historical avg +6.16%

20-day -0.38%
60-day +1.62%
120-day +6.16%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.6%
55.6%
65.4%
Sample
28
27
26
Median
+0.25%
+0.8%
+4.2%
Excess
-2.02%
-1.66%
-0.32%
Beat mkt rate
32.1%
37%
38.5%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.16%, lagged the market by 0.32 pts; win rate 65.4%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 86.93%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
10 historical occurrences (since 2018-05-08)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 60%, Sample 10, Median +2.45%, Excess -0.33%, Beat mkt rate 40%

60-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +1.45%, Excess -3.75%, Beat mkt rate 11.1%

120-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 9, Median -5.54%, Excess -5.67%, Beat mkt rate 11.1%

120 days after: historical avg +0.18%

20-day +2.12%
60-day +1.68%
120-day +0.18%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60%
55.6%
33.3%
Sample
10
9
9
Median
+2.45%
+1.45%
-5.54%
Excess
-0.33%
-3.75%
-5.67%
Beat mkt rate
40%
11.1%
11.1%

Over 9 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 0.18%, lagged the market by 5.67 pts; win rate 33.3%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 429+9.3% +10.5% 76.7% +0.1%
20-40 343+25.4% +29.4% 84% +6.2%
40-60 186+28.2% +35.8% 83.3% +7.6%
60-80 210+10.3% -1% 47.1% -6.1%
80-100 You are here251+9.1% -0.7% 45.4% -7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 28.94, placing it in the 99.8 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+6.6%
Win rate 77% Excess +3.4%
379d
+11.8%
Win rate 80% Excess -1%
160d
Now
+8.7%
Win rate 69.6% Excess -2.5%
392d
60-day momentum down
+7.6%
Win rate 71.8% Excess +0.1%
362d
+7.8%
Win rate 80.6% Excess 0%
124d
+13.6%
Win rate 73% Excess +5.6%
122d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 392 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 8.7%, win rate 69.6%, lagged the market by 2.5%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.08%, win rate 54.5%, beating the market by +1.56 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.21%, win rate 70.4%, beating the market by +2.24 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.