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EXR Extra Space Storage Inc.

Real Estate

155.98 +4.66 +3.08% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -2.4%
Open
151.70
High
156.73
Low
151.70
Prev close
151.32
Volume
1.3M
Amplitude
3.32%
P/E
31.1
P/B
2.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+7.2%
52W 125.71 158.88

Is Extra Space Storage Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 31.14 69th percentile Pricey
Price / book 2.46 66th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 6.03 70th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong FCF margin, TTM is Top; ROE, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 8.06 60th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 45.18 91th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 53.86 93th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 7.23 54th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 8.48 60th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) 2.38 76th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 19.29 71th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 184,607,810 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 19.2 20th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Extra Space Storage Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Extra Space Storage Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Extra Space Storage Inc.

Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) peers and tracking

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Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

21 historical occurrences (since 2017-09-07)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 70%, Sample 20, Median +1.84%, Excess +1.06%, Beat mkt rate 60%

60-day: Win 75%, Sample 20, Median +5.75%, Excess +0.11%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 78.9%, Sample 19, Median +9.96%, Excess +4.85%, Beat mkt rate 63.2%

120 days after: historical avg +11.36%

20-day +1.91%
60-day +4.85%
120-day +11.36%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
70%
75%
78.9%
Sample
20
20
19
Median
+1.84%
+5.75%
+9.96%
Excess
+1.06%
+0.11%
+4.85%
Beat mkt rate
60%
50%
63.2%

Over 19 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.36%, beat the market by 4.85 pts; win rate 78.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 229+10.9% +5.7% 62% -11.5%
20-40 173+1.6% -8.2% 34.1% -18.4%
40-60 You are here261+15.4% +8.1% 73.2% -4.7%
60-80 226+22.8% +3.5% 74.3% +4.8%
80-100 542+12.2% -0.8% 46.9% +5.1%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 31.14, placing it in the 50.6 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-6.1%
Win rate 34% Excess -15.6%
97d
Now
+3.5%
Win rate 65.9% Excess -6.4%
205d
+10.4%
Win rate 60.1% Excess +4.9%
539d
60-day momentum down
+3.6%
Win rate 55.8% Excess -7.3%
233d
+8.8%
Win rate 75.4% Excess +1%
293d
+4.2%
Win rate 46.7% Excess -3.7%
184d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 205 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 3.5%, win rate 65.9%, lagged the market by 6.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.92%, win rate 41.7%, beating the market by -4.17 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.56%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +1.49 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.83%, win rate 57.9%, beating the market by -0.01 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.