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F Ford Motor Company

Consumer Cyclical

12.60 +0.35 +2.83% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +23.8%
Open
12.40
High
12.65
Low
12.38
Prev close
12.25
Volume
52.1M
Amplitude
2.20%
P/B
1.3
Revenue YoY (TTM)
-1.4%
52W 11.11 17.78

Is Ford Motor Company a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Growth: Weak.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top; Price / book is Fair.
TTM P/E -6.22 N/A
Price / book 1.32 45th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 15.39 89th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral All 3 indicators are Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -21.11 26th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 1.88 40th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 4.02 49th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Weak Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average; Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) -1.38 32th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -269.7 8th percentile Lagging
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -10.21 42th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -3.95 46th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 489,176,501 97th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 30.6 35th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Ford Motor Company (F) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Ford Motor Company to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Ford Motor Company across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Ford Motor Company

Ford Motor Company (F) peers and tracking

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Ford Motor Company (F) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 19.54%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
30 historical occurrences (since 2015-01-29)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 59.3%, Sample 27, Median +1.69%, Excess +1.93%, Beat mkt rate 48.1%

60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 27, Median +10.38%, Excess +3.02%, Beat mkt rate 59.3%

120-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 26, Median +3.06%, Excess +2.15%, Beat mkt rate 46.2%

120 days after: historical avg +9.61%

20-day +3.73%
60-day +7.59%
120-day +9.61%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
59.3%
66.7%
53.8%
Sample
27
27
26
Median
+1.69%
+10.38%
+3.06%
Excess
+1.93%
+3.02%
+2.15%
Beat mkt rate
48.1%
59.3%
46.2%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.61%, beat the market by 2.15 pts; win rate 53.8%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.05%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -1.99 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.56%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by +2.72 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.