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FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

Basic Materials

62.97 +0.51 +0.82% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +46.6%
Open
63.40
High
65.44
Low
62.82
Prev close
62.45
Volume
10.9M
Amplitude
4.20%
P/E
26.2
P/B
4.3
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+1.8%
52W 38.54 80.24

Is Freeport-McMoRan Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 26.24 64th percentile Pricey
Price / book 4.27 79th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 6.84 73th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good Operating margin, TTM is Top; ROE, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 16.42 78th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 27.62 81th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 23.19 80th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 1.75 40th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 66.43 80th percentile Good
Momentum Good 240-day return is Top, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -8.21 46th percentile Average
240-day return (%) 56.95 89th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 748,998,644 98th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 41.4 47th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Freeport-McMoRan Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Freeport-McMoRan Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 7.98%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
27 historical occurrences (since 2015-07-23)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 44%, Sample 25, Median -2.64%, Excess +0.09%, Beat mkt rate 28%

60-day: Win 64%, Sample 25, Median +8.02%, Excess +10.8%, Beat mkt rate 52%

120-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 24, Median +13.28%, Excess +22.55%, Beat mkt rate 58.3%

120 days after: historical avg +29.71%

20-day +1.05%
60-day +14.25%
120-day +29.71%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
44%
64%
62.5%
Sample
25
25
24
Median
-2.64%
+8.02%
+13.28%
Excess
+0.09%
+10.8%
+22.55%
Beat mkt rate
28%
52%
58.3%

Over 24 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 29.71%, beat the market by 22.55 pts; win rate 62.5%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 45+41.4% +42.4% 100% +27.1%
20-40 108+14.5% +11.9% 75% +9.8%
40-60 You are here265-5.4% -6.6% 24.5% -5.6%
60-80 265+45.5% +45.3% 90.9% +24.7%
80-100 394+9.1% +1.9% 54.6% -8.6%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 26.24, placing it in the 54.6 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(24d)
-11.2%
Win rate 28.2% Excess -8.4%
227d
+8.6%
Win rate 61.4% Excess -0.7%
448d
60-day momentum down
+31.9%
Win rate 89.2% Excess +31.5%
93d
Now
+14.2%
Win rate 65% Excess +10.4%
117d
+16.6%
Win rate 71.9% Excess +7.8%
288d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 117 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 14.2%, win rate 65%, beat the market by 10.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.88%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +5.29 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.36%, win rate 46.4%, beating the market by -3.76 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.33%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by -3.49 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.