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FICO Fair Isaac Corporation

Technology

724.19 +12.96 +1.82% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -69.5%
Open
704.65
High
728.90
Low
701.38
Prev close
711.23
Volume
661.2K
Amplitude
3.87%
P/E
20.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+24.1%
52W 586.05 1,859

Is Fair Isaac Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Good; Momentum: Weak.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 20.54 54th percentile Pricey
Price / book -3.75 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 6.48 72th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good Operating margin, TTM is Top, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -19.89 26th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 51.65 92th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 41.61 91th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 24.09 78th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 35.39 73th percentile Good
Momentum Weak All 2 indicators are Lagging.
60-day return (%) -31.08 17th percentile Lagging
240-day return (%) -59.16 13th percentile Lagging
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Neutral 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 723,077,404 98th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 87.85 79th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Fair Isaac Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Fair Isaac Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Fair Isaac Corporation

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) peers and tracking

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Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 24.09%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

16 historical occurrences (since 2018-11-09)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 43.8%, Sample 16, Median -0.23%, Excess -0.12%, Beat mkt rate 56.2%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 16, Median -4.08%, Excess -5.84%, Beat mkt rate 37.5%

120-day: Win 60%, Sample 15, Median +2.98%, Excess +0.79%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%

120 days after: historical avg +9.98%

20-day +1.07%
60-day -2.21%
120-day +9.98%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
43.8%
50%
60%
Sample
16
16
15
Median
-0.23%
-4.08%
+2.98%
Excess
-0.12%
-5.84%
+0.79%
Beat mkt rate
56.2%
37.5%
53.3%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.98%, beat the market by 0.79 pts; win rate 60%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here268+57.8% +55.2% 97.8% +58.8%
20-40 51+50.4% +64.7% 92.2% +46.3%
40-60 181+61% +71.8% 89.5% +36.5%
60-80 335+26.6% +16.7% 63.6% +6.6%
80-100 669+7.8% -8.9% 44.8% -10.4%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 20.54, placing it in the 0.5 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+17.9%
Win rate 53.6% Excess +23.9%
140d
+19.9%
Win rate 84.1% Excess +10.3%
182d
+10.9%
Win rate 66.6% Excess +1.7%
739d
60-day momentum down
Now
+16.7%
Win rate 70.6% Excess +14.8%
218d
+9.7%
Win rate 59.2% Excess -6.5%
130d
-1.6%
Win rate 33% Excess -11.5%
215d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 218 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 16.7%, win rate 70.6%, beat the market by 14.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.24%, win rate 60.7%, beating the market by +2.39 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.28%, win rate 76.2%, beating the market by +9.88 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.27%, win rate 80%, beating the market by +7.92 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.