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GRMN Garmin Ltd.

Technology

272.67 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +31.8%
Open
280.52
High
285.77
Low
272.33
Prev close
279.94
Volume
946.9K
Amplitude
4.80%
P/E
26.2
P/B
5.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+13.6%
52W 186.67 314.28

Is Garmin Ltd. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 26.17 64th percentile Pricey
Price / book 5.5 84th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.67 57th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 21.13 83th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 28.82 82th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 17.78 73th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 13.59 67th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 28.33 70th percentile Good
Momentum Good 240-day return is Top, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -9.34 43th percentile Average
240-day return (%) 42.76 84th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 244,821,452 94th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 27.02 31th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Garmin Ltd. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Garmin Ltd. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Garmin Ltd.

Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 13.59%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 historical occurrences (since 2020-02-19)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 7, Median +3.06%, Excess +0.48%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

60-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 7, Median +7.14%, Excess +2.21%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%

120-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 7, Median +17.03%, Excess +4.79%, Beat mkt rate 85.7%

120 days after: historical avg +14.62%

20-day -1%
60-day +5.88%
120-day +14.62%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.1%
71.4%
71.4%
Sample
7
7
7
Median
+3.06%
+7.14%
+17.03%
Excess
+0.48%
+2.21%
+4.79%
Beat mkt rate
57.1%
71.4%
85.7%

Over 7 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 14.62%, beat the market by 4.79 pts; win rate 71.4%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 14.52%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
37 historical occurrences (since 2016-02-17)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 36, Median +0.79%, Excess -0.46%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

60-day: Win 61.1%, Sample 36, Median +3.71%, Excess -0.88%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%

120-day: Win 68.6%, Sample 35, Median +7.12%, Excess +2.97%, Beat mkt rate 60%

120 days after: historical avg +10.32%

20-day +0.78%
60-day +2.87%
120-day +10.32%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
61.1%
68.6%
Sample
36
36
35
Median
+0.79%
+3.71%
+7.12%
Excess
-0.46%
-0.88%
+2.97%
Beat mkt rate
44.4%
41.7%
60%

Over 35 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 10.32%, beat the market by 2.97 pts; win rate 68.6%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 223+33.8% +29.7% 97.8% +12.4%
20-40 160+30.8% +32.9% 74.4% +12.8%
40-60 225+48.6% +59.3% 84.9% +28.2%
60-80 You are here153+23.2% +35.3% 75.8% +9.6%
80-100 680+11% +13% 63.2% 0%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 26.17, placing it in the 78.1 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+17.2%
Win rate 100% Excess +4%
82d
+19.4%
Win rate 98.1% Excess +8.3%
213d
+12%
Win rate 72.2% Excess +3.6%
713d
60-day momentum down
+9.6%
Win rate 67.1% Excess +2.8%
234d
+4.6%
Win rate 49.2% Excess +3.8%
120d
Now
+7%
Win rate 67.3% Excess +1.8%
199d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 199 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7%, win rate 67.3%, beat the market by 1.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.56%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -0.52 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.55%, win rate 70%, beating the market by +2.01 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.