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HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company

Technology

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

Quality
Weak
Valuation
Expensive
Key signals
52-week adjusted-price high Top-quintile 6-month momentum Filed revenue acceleration
61.04
61.04 Close (USD) Loading candles…

Is Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 49th percentile. TTM ROE is about 5.7%.

  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 92th percentile, above most peers.

  • Recent volatility is elevated. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 74th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $1,408.2M.

  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Watchlist

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Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

20 historical occurrences (since 2017-02-22)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 47.4%, Sample 19, Median -1.16%, Excess +0.14%, Beat mkt rate 47.4%；60-day: Win 27.8%, Sample 18, Median -2.69%, Excess -0.2%, Beat mkt rate 38.9%；120-day: Win 29.4%, Sample 17, Median -10.35%, Excess -9.83%, Beat mkt rate 17.6%

120 days after: historical avg -7.4%

20-day +0.5%
60-day +0.29%
120-day -7.4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
47.4%
27.8%
29.4%
Sample
19
18
17
Median
-1.16%
-2.69%
-10.35%
Excess
+0.14%
-0.2%
-9.83%
Beat mkt rate
47.4%
38.9%
17.6%

Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 7.4%, lagged the market by 9.83 pts; win rate 29.4%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 99.23728813559322%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

17 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-07)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 29.4%, Sample 17, Median -1.64%, Excess -0.86%, Beat mkt rate 35.3%；60-day: Win 23.5%, Sample 17, Median -7.76%, Excess -3.71%, Beat mkt rate 23.5%；120-day: Win 31.2%, Sample 16, Median -6.45%, Excess -2.59%, Beat mkt rate 18.8%

120 days after: historical avg -0.04%

20-day +0.35%
60-day -1.32%
120-day -0.04%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
29.4%
23.5%
31.2%
Sample
17
17
16
Median
-1.64%
-7.76%
-6.45%
Excess
-0.86%
-3.71%
-2.59%
Beat mkt rate
35.3%
23.5%
18.8%

Over 16 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 0.04%, lagged the market by 2.59 pts; win rate 31.2%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 23.211738978860975%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 historical occurrences (since 2025-03-07)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 60%, Sample 5, Median +5.7%, Excess +1.67%, Beat mkt rate 60%；60-day: Win 60%, Sample 5, Median +11.89%, Excess +30.92%, Beat mkt rate 60%

60 days after: historical avg +36.9%

20-day +0.62%
60-day +36.9%
20-day
60-day
Win
60%
60%
Sample
5
5
Median
+5.7%
+11.89%
Excess
+1.67%
+30.92%
Beat mkt rate
60%
60%

Over 5 occurrences, 60-day forward avg gained 36.9%, beat the market by 30.92 pts; win rate 60%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 246+28.5% +3.4% 62.2% +23.4%
20-40 77+120.5% +111.8% 100% +88.3%
40-60 369+13.7% +6.8% 62.9% -1.3%
60-80 309+9.9% +9.8% 70.6% -5.2%
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 58.13, placing it in the 90.5 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-14%
Win rate 5.1% Excess -5.8%
98d
+4.3%
Win rate 67.3% Excess -2.1%
312d
Now
+54.3%
Win rate 62.3% Excess +41.2%
167d
60-day momentum down
+20.6%
Win rate 82.3% Excess +14.8%
198d
+20.3%
Win rate 84.5% Excess +2.3%
200d
+10%
Win rate 97.3% Excess +0.8%
146d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 167 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 54.3%, win rate 62.3%, beat the market by 41.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,498 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.12%, a 57.9% positive-return rate, and +2.77 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

32 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.03%, win rate 53.3%, beating the market by +6.78 pts on average.

Continue researching Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.