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HPQ HP Inc.

Technology

28.78 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -13.7%
Open
27.30
High
29.62
Low
26.96
Prev close
31.83
Volume
29.9M
Amplitude
8.36%
P/E
11.0
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+8.1%
52W 17.56 36.23

Is HP Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Quality: Weak.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top; TTM P/E is Fair.
TTM P/E 10.98 29th percentile Fair
Price / book -282.1 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 14.95 88th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Weak FCF margin, TTM is Good, but ROE, TTM is Lagging.
ROE, TTM (%) -2,664.13 1th percentile Lagging
Operating margin, TTM (%) 5.64 47th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 6.56 55th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 8.14 56th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -4.03 53th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) 3.08 77th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 23.24 74th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 391,499,432 96th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 54.53 60th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

HP Inc. (HPQ) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From HP Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of HP Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like HP Inc.

HP Inc. (HPQ) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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HP Inc. (HPQ) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 88.71%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
14 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-18)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 14, Median +5.51%, Excess +1.05%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

60-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 14, Median -0.86%, Excess -1.26%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

120-day: Win 46.2%, Sample 13, Median -7.55%, Excess -4.39%, Beat mkt rate 46.2%

120 days after: historical avg +0.27%

20-day +0.39%
60-day +0.4%
120-day +0.27%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.1%
42.9%
46.2%
Sample
14
14
13
Median
+5.51%
-0.86%
-7.55%
Excess
+1.05%
-1.26%
-4.39%
Beat mkt rate
57.1%
42.9%
46.2%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 0.27%, lagged the market by 4.39 pts; win rate 46.2%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 314+3.7% -2.9% 39.5% -4.7%
20-40 171+38.1% +18.6% 71.3% +18.6%
40-60 359+11.5% +13.6% 69.4% -1.5%
60-80 You are here445+12.4% +14.2% 65.8% -8%
80-100 185+6.5% +13.6% 63.8% -8.9%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 10.98, placing it in the 65.1 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+4.8%
Win rate 53.1% Excess +4.8%
194d
Now
+8%
Win rate 57.5% Excess +1.6%
299d
+4.2%
Win rate 39.4% Excess -4.6%
416d
60-day momentum down
+19.3%
Win rate 73.4% Excess +10.4%
316d
+10.4%
Win rate 70.8% Excess -0.6%
219d
-4.6%
Win rate 47.3% Excess -14.4%
150d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 299 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 8%, win rate 57.5%, beat the market by 1.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.45%, win rate 47.4%, beating the market by +2.55 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.67%, win rate 40%, beating the market by +4.45 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.15%, win rate 92.9%, beating the market by +7.12 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.