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KGC Kinross Gold Corporation

Basic Materials

20.13 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +113.7%
Open
20.74
High
20.75
Low
19.70
Prev close
21.60
Volume
12.3M
Amplitude
4.86%
P/E
7.7
P/B
2.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+30.1%
52W 19.70 39.11

Is Kinross Gold Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Strong, Growth: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 7.68 19th percentile Cheap
Price / book 2.4 65th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 11.24 84th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 31.66 88th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 50.67 92th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 32.06 87th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 30.05 81th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 84.51 82th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -21.33 26th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -20.46 32th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 164,840,019 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 56.4 61th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Kinross Gold Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Kinross Gold Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Kinross Gold Corporation

Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) peers and tracking

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Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 8.7%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
28 historical occurrences (since 2016-05-10)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 44.4%, Sample 27, Median -1.13%, Excess +2.18%, Beat mkt rate 48.1%

60-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 27, Median +6.38%, Excess +7.71%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

120-day: Win 61.5%, Sample 26, Median +18.55%, Excess +10.31%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%

120 days after: historical avg +18.31%

20-day +3.2%
60-day +11.52%
120-day +18.31%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
44.4%
55.6%
61.5%
Sample
27
27
26
Median
-1.13%
+6.38%
+18.55%
Excess
+2.18%
+7.71%
+10.31%
Beat mkt rate
48.1%
44.4%
53.8%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.31%, beat the market by 10.31 pts; win rate 61.5%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here281-15.8% -15.3% 14.9% -17.4%
20-40 11Insufficient data
40-60 289+113.8% +115.5% 95.8% +96.2%
60-80 363+79.5% +84.1% 96.1% +59.1%
80-100 58+61.5% +66.1% 100% +38.8%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 7.68, placing it in the 12.6 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-20.8%
Win rate 2% Excess -19.8%
100d
+42.9%
Win rate 89% Excess +33.8%
493d
+11.8%
Win rate 74% Excess +1.7%
154d
60-day momentum down
Now
-11.7%
Win rate 10.5% Excess -14.2%
191d
+38.5%
Win rate 72.7% Excess +31.3%
77d
+22.7%
Win rate 97.2% Excess +11.3%
107d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 191 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 11.7%, win rate 10.5%, lagged the market by 14.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.28%, win rate 70%, beating the market by +4.75 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

26 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.98%, win rate 73.1%, beating the market by +9.87 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.25%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by +6.71 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.