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KNTK Kinetik Holdings Inc.

Energy

55.30

Close 10/16

P/E
20.1
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Is Kinetik Holdings Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-16

Valuation: Fair, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 20.06 51th percentile Pricey
Price / book -3.51 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 4.67 64th percentile Good
Quality Neutral FCF margin, TTM is Good, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -17.14 26th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 8.84 54th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 10.56 62th percentile Good
Growth Good Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 11.27 64th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 272.49 92th percentile Top
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 8.66 81th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 51.29 88th percentile Top
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 64,604,933 84th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 26.65 29th percentile Good

Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-16

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) peers and tracking

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Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

14 historical occurrences (since 2021-01-19)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 13, Median +1.5%, Excess +0.03%, Beat mkt rate 38.5%；60-day: Win 61.5%, Sample 13, Median +5.19%, Excess -1.04%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%；120-day: Win 72.7%, Sample 11, Median +23.52%, Excess +7.63%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

120 days after: historical avg +15.95%

20-day +1.96%
60-day +3.57%
120-day +15.95%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
69.2%
61.5%
72.7%
Sample
13
13
11
Median
+1.5%
+5.19%
+23.52%
Excess
+0.03%
-1.04%
+7.63%
Beat mkt rate
38.5%
53.8%
54.5%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 15.95%, beat the market by 7.63 pts; win rate 72.7%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 11.27%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 historical occurrences (since 2021-02-26)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 88.9%, Sample 9, Median +4.01%, Excess +3.06%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%；60-day: Win 87.5%, Sample 8, Median +6.35%, Excess +3.62%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 8, Median +5.05%, Excess +3.74%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

120 days after: historical avg +10.03%

20-day +4.05%
60-day +9.08%
120-day +10.03%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
88.9%
87.5%
50%
Sample
9
8
8
Median
+4.01%
+6.35%
+5.05%
Excess
+3.06%
+3.62%
+3.74%
Beat mkt rate
66.7%
62.5%
62.5%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 10.03%, beat the market by 3.74 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 85-1.6% +0.9% 56.5% -16.6%
20-40 You are here77-33.7% -35.6% 0% -47.9%
40-60 38+22% +22.6% 100% -0.4%
60-80 132+23.3% +23.5% 82.6% +4%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 20.06, placing it in the 23.3 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
+13.5%
Win rate 65.6% Excess +8.9%
163d
-23.6%
Win rate 0% Excess -29.7%
50d
+22.2%
Win rate 100% Excess +15.4%
47d
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(6d)
-3.5%
Win rate 26.2% Excess -16.6%
122d
+31.2%
Win rate 100% Excess +22.8%
64d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 163 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 13.5%, win rate 65.6%, beat the market by 8.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,524 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.48%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.13 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.75%, win rate 64.3%, beating the market by +7.15 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.9%, win rate 40%, beating the market by -0.22 pts on average.

Continue researching Kinetik Holdings Inc. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.