EPS surprise beat
Active · now 34.04% Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.
25 historical occurrences (since 2019-07-09)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 54.2%, Sample 24, Median +2.49%, Excess -0.54%, Beat mkt rate 54.2%;60-day: Win 45.8%, Sample 24, Median -2.67%, Excess -3.01%, Beat mkt rate 29.2%;120-day: Win 47.8%, Sample 23, Median -4.36%, Excess -6.4%, Beat mkt rate 34.8%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg +1.4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.2%
45.8%
47.8%
Sample
24
24
23
Median
+2.49%
-2.67%
-4.36%
Excess
-0.54%
-3.01%
-6.4%
Beat mkt rate
54.2%
29.2%
34.8%
Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.4%, lagged the market by 6.4 pts; win rate 47.8%.