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LUV Southwest Airlines Co.

Industrials

43.96 +1.53 +3.62% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +33.8%
Open
43.94
High
44.77
Low
43.53
Prev close
42.43
Volume
7.8M
Amplitude
2.92%
P/E
20.4
P/B
2.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+14.5%
52W 29.26 55.11

Is Southwest Airlines Co. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Average; Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 20.4 54th percentile Pricey
Price / book 2.83 70th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -3.49 35th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 14.37 75th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 4.39 45th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) -2.3 35th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 14.5 68th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 220 90th percentile Top
Momentum Good 240-day return is Good, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -9.19 44th percentile Average
240-day return (%) 31.59 79th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 276,065,058 94th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 31.57 36th percentile Good

Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Southwest Airlines Co. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Southwest Airlines Co. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Southwest Airlines Co.

Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) peers and tracking

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Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 14.5%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

3 historical occurrences (since 2022-02-07)

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 15.59%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

26 historical occurrences (since 2015-01-22)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 58.3%, Sample 24, Median +0.79%, Excess +2.16%, Beat mkt rate 54.2%

60-day: Win 54.2%, Sample 24, Median +4.98%, Excess -0.19%, Beat mkt rate 45.8%

120-day: Win 47.8%, Sample 23, Median -0.2%, Excess -2.1%, Beat mkt rate 52.2%

120 days after: historical avg +3.66%

20-day +4.22%
60-day +3.51%
120-day +3.66%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.3%
54.2%
47.8%
Sample
24
24
23
Median
+0.79%
+4.98%
-0.2%
Excess
+2.16%
-0.19%
-2.1%
Beat mkt rate
54.2%
45.8%
52.2%

Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.66%, lagged the market by 2.1 pts; win rate 47.8%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 46+26.2% +24.2% 93.5% -20.2%
20-40 56+0.8% -1.1% 44.6% -26.3%
40-60 You are here5Insufficient data
60-80 124+21.7% +24.9% 70.2% -2.6%
80-100 833+4.6% -1% 48.7% -11.9%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 20.40, placing it in the 43.0 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(13d)
Insufficient data
(11d)
+1.9%
Win rate 48.9% Excess -6.5%
530d
60-day momentum down
+25.7%
Win rate 84.7% Excess -8.1%
72d
Now
-6.2%
Win rate 63.9% Excess -19.3%
36d
+4.3%
Win rate 54.8% Excess -4%
522d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 36 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 6.2%, win rate 63.9%, lagged the market by 19.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg -9.14%, win rate 25%, beating the market by -11.08 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

10 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.36%, win rate 60%, beating the market by -3.17 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.