Skip to main content

LW Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

Consumer Defensive

54.21

Close 10/15

P/E
29.6
P/B
4.1
Loading candles…

Is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-15

Quality: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 29.62 67th percentile Pricey
Price / book 4.13 78th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 8.49 78th percentile Good
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 14.1 74th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 7.8 51th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 9.58 60th percentile Good
Growth Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 2.58 42th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -12.44 50th percentile Average
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) 13.76 86th percentile Top
240-day return (%) -10.14 41th percentile Average
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 141,867,978 90th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 38.76 43th percentile Good

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-15

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 80.44%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

15 historical occurrences (since 2017-05-12)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 14, Median +2.87%, Excess +2.23%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%；60-day: Win 78.6%, Sample 14, Median +10.46%, Excess +5.85%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%；120-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 14, Median +8.32%, Excess +4.84%, Beat mkt rate 64.3%

120 days after: historical avg +7.45%

20-day +3.52%
60-day +8.5%
120-day +7.45%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
71.4%
78.6%
71.4%
Sample
14
14
14
Median
+2.87%
+10.46%
+8.32%
Excess
+2.23%
+5.85%
+4.84%
Beat mkt rate
57.1%
71.4%
64.3%

Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.45%, beat the market by 4.84 pts; win rate 71.4%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 27.77%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

25 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-10)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 54.2%, Sample 24, Median +1.67%, Excess -0.12%, Beat mkt rate 54.2%；60-day: Win 65.2%, Sample 23, Median +7.21%, Excess -0.91%, Beat mkt rate 47.8%；120-day: Win 73.9%, Sample 23, Median +7.19%, Excess -2.44%, Beat mkt rate 47.8%

120 days after: historical avg +3.52%

20-day +1.02%
60-day +0.85%
120-day +3.52%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.2%
65.2%
73.9%
Sample
24
23
23
Median
+1.67%
+7.21%
+7.19%
Excess
-0.12%
-0.91%
-2.44%
Beat mkt rate
54.2%
47.8%
47.8%

Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.52%, lagged the market by 2.44 pts; win rate 73.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 413-15.1% -23.2% 20.3% -38.3%
20-40 163-9.7% -12.8% 16% -31.2%
40-60 59-16.7% -20.1% 5.1% -33.7%
60-80 You are here260-1.7% +3.1% 58.5% -22.4%
80-100 562+17.3% +20.3% 55% +12.4%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 29.62, placing it in the 72.9 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-15.1%
Win rate 27.4% Excess -24.8%
190d
-6.9%
Win rate 29.5% Excess -14.8%
149d
Now
+2.9%
Win rate 59% Excess -3.2%
564d
60-day momentum down
+2.5%
Win rate 60.5% Excess -10.9%
430d
-8.8%
Win rate 13.7% Excess -16.4%
51d
+10.7%
Win rate 67.4% Excess +13.2%
193d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 564 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 2.9%, win rate 59%, lagged the market by 3.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,350 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.48%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.13 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.39%, win rate 73.3%, beating the market by +3.97 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.48%, win rate 62.5%, beating the market by -0.73 pts on average.

Continue researching Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. with the evidence above.

Continue in Studio ↗

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.