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MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc.

Technology

248.39 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -13.3%
Open
244.45
High
250.79
Low
243.02
Prev close
240.84
Volume
1.1M
Amplitude
3.23%
P/E
69.6
P/B
71.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+8.4%
52W 119.06 254.00

Is Manhattan Associates, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 69.58 88th percentile Expensive
Price / book 71.84 99th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.63 57th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong ROE, TTM is Top; Operating margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 106.08 95th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 24.14 77th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 32.82 87th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 8.42 57th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 1.71 56th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 30.3 95th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 39.36 83th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 189,502,578 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 33.12 38th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Manhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH) today

3 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Manhattan Associates, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Manhattan Associates, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Manhattan Associates, Inc.

Manhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH) peers and tracking

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Manhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

24 historical occurrences (since 2018-01-12)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 52.2%, Sample 23, Median +0.36%, Excess -2.55%, Beat mkt rate 39.1%

60-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 22, Median +2.43%, Excess -3.26%, Beat mkt rate 40.9%

120-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 22, Median +4.64%, Excess -1.7%, Beat mkt rate 40.9%

120 days after: historical avg +5.69%

20-day -1.67%
60-day -0.47%
120-day +5.69%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.2%
54.5%
63.6%
Sample
23
22
22
Median
+0.36%
+2.43%
+4.64%
Excess
-2.55%
-3.26%
-1.7%
Beat mkt rate
39.1%
40.9%
40.9%

Over 22 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.69%, lagged the market by 1.7 pts; win rate 63.6%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 95.93%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
21 historical occurrences (since 2018-08-14)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 61.9%, Sample 21, Median +4.03%, Excess -0.02%, Beat mkt rate 52.4%

60-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 21, Median +6.3%, Excess -2.38%, Beat mkt rate 38.1%

120-day: Win 55%, Sample 20, Median +5.29%, Excess -2.06%, Beat mkt rate 35%

120 days after: historical avg +3.84%

20-day +2.17%
60-day +0.82%
120-day +3.84%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
61.9%
57.1%
55%
Sample
21
21
20
Median
+4.03%
+6.3%
+5.29%
Excess
-0.02%
-2.38%
-2.06%
Beat mkt rate
52.4%
38.1%
35%

Over 20 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.84%, lagged the market by 2.06 pts; win rate 55%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 6.16%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
45 historical occurrences (since 2015-02-03)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 57.5%, Sample 40, Median +2.44%, Excess +0.73%, Beat mkt rate 57.5%

60-day: Win 57.5%, Sample 40, Median +7.18%, Excess +3.15%, Beat mkt rate 57.5%

120-day: Win 59%, Sample 39, Median +10.44%, Excess +2.4%, Beat mkt rate 56.4%

120 days after: historical avg +9.17%

20-day +2.07%
60-day +6.74%
120-day +9.17%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.5%
57.5%
59%
Sample
40
40
39
Median
+2.44%
+7.18%
+10.44%
Excess
+0.73%
+3.15%
+2.4%
Beat mkt rate
57.5%
57.5%
56.4%

Over 39 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.17%, beat the market by 2.4 pts; win rate 59%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 131-10.4% -18.6% 22.1% -30.5%
40-60 You are here104-5.1% -12.1% 20.2% -21.3%
60-80 549+29.4% +34.7% 66.5% +14.7%
80-100 676+19.1% +19.3% 64.3% +4.2%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 69.58, placing it in the 58.7 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(5d)
Now
-10.8%
Win rate 22.2% Excess -20%
158d
+7.8%
Win rate 70.3% Excess +0.2%
824d
60-day momentum down
+18.8%
Win rate 63.6% Excess +6.4%
173d
+21.8%
Win rate 78.8% Excess +13.9%
208d
+20.1%
Win rate 70.8% Excess +15.6%
212d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 158 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 10.8%, win rate 22.2%, lagged the market by 20%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.29%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +0.55 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.