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MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated

Technology

77.34 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +15.4%
Open
78.47
High
80.08
Low
75.32
Prev close
81.12
Volume
19.8M
Amplitude
5.87%
P/E
107.3
P/B
6.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+20.9%
52W 48.52 105.91

Is Microchip Technology Incorporated a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Expensive.
TTM P/E 107.27 93th percentile Expensive
Price / book 6.51 87th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.65 57th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 6.98 57th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 15.52 65th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 21.69 79th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 20.93 75th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -314.71 7th percentile Lagging
Momentum Strong 240-day return is Top; 60-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 4.65 80th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 48.38 87th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 794,302,317 98th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 47.28 53th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Microchip Technology Incorporated to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Microchip Technology Incorporated across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Microchip Technology Incorporated

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) peers and tracking

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Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 20.93%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 historical occurrences (since 2018-08-09)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 9, Median -5.06%, Excess -2.57%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

60-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +4.41%, Excess +1.36%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

120-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 8, Median +9.9%, Excess +5.56%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

120 days after: historical avg +6.05%

20-day -3.93%
60-day +0.68%
120-day +6.05%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
33.3%
55.6%
62.5%
Sample
9
9
8
Median
-5.06%
+4.41%
+9.9%
Excess
-2.57%
+1.36%
+5.56%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
44.4%
62.5%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.05%, beat the market by 5.56 pts; win rate 62.5%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 738+12.8% +10.5% 69.4% -3.4%
20-40 400+18% +16.7% 91.5% -4.6%
40-60 You are here81+2.4% -6.3% 40.7% +1.1%
60-80 124-7.4% -7.4% 11.3% -9.9%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 107.27, placing it in the 55.4 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+3.8%
Win rate 56.7% Excess -2.5%
639d
Now
+2.4%
Win rate 52.7% Excess -3.6%
148d
+1.1%
Win rate 52.9% Excess -10%
70d
60-day momentum down
+10.3%
Win rate 60.8% Excess +2.2%
482d
+38%
Win rate 94.1% Excess +15.7%
119d
Insufficient data
(5d)

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 148 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 2.4%, win rate 52.7%, lagged the market by 3.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.89%, win rate 45.8%, beating the market by -4.83 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.7%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -5.14 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.23%, win rate 61.1%, beating the market by +0.96 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.