Filed revenue acceleration
Active · now 26.4%TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
23.52 USD 1D +0.15 +0.65% Close 11/5
Since 2024-12-05 -8.3%
Close 11/5
- Open
- 23.85
- High
- 24.46
- Low
- 23.51
- Prev close
- 23.37
- Volume
- 4.59M
- Amplitude
- 4.07%
- P/E
- 10.4
- P/B
- 2.6
- Revenue YoY (TTM)
- +26.4%
52W 21.07 32.76
FinLab Studio
From Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation to every stock like it
AI finds several complementary traits of Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.
Screen stocks like Magnolia Oil & Gas CorporationIs Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
Valuation: Fair, Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.
Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 10.4 27th percentile · Fair
Price / book 2.6 67th percentile · Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 10.9 83th percentile · Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value BacktestQuality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 20.1 82th percentile · Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 36.9 87th percentile · Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 36.2 89th percentile · Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value BacktestGrowth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 26.4 79th percentile · Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 24.4 69th percentile · Good
Momentum Neutral 240-day return is Good, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -10.2 40th percentile · Average
240-day return (%) 5.2 54th percentile · Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum BacktestRisk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 71,523,948.0 84th percentile · Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 36.0 40th percentile · Good
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) today
Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) peers and tracking
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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) quant signal backtests
Signals active now
Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.
EPS surprise beat
Active · now 22.4%Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat
20-day: Win 60.0%, Sample 15, Median +2.1%, Excess +2.5%, Beat mkt rate 60.0%
60-day: Win 46.7%, Sample 15, Median -2.3%, Excess +3.4%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%
120-day: Win 35.7%, Sample 14, Median -1.6%, Excess +3.7%, Beat mkt rate 28.6%
120 days after: historical avg +8.8%
20-day +2.7%
60-day +4.5%
120-day +8.8%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60.0%
46.7%
35.7%
Sample
15
15
14
Median
+2.1%
-2.3%
-1.6%
Excess
+2.5%
+3.4%
+3.7%
Beat mkt rate
60.0%
53.3%
28.6%
Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.8%, beat the market by 3.7 pts; win rate 35.7%.
Valuation regime and forward returns
Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 224 | +7.9% | +4.2% | 55.8% | -11.8% |
| 20-40 Now | 72 | +11.1% | +11.9% | 88.9% | -14.9% |
| 40-60 | 178 | +24.9% | +23.1% | 97.2% | +1.8% |
| 60-80 | 337 | -0.3% | -3.1% | 42.7% | -14.5% |
| 80-100 | 0 | Insufficient data |
Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.
Current TTM P/E is about 10.43, placing it in the 39.6 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.
More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now
Valuation × momentum analogs
Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-8.2%
100d
+5.3%
105d
-2.4%
273d
60-day momentum down
+3.6%
148d
Now
+12.9%
236d
+6.7%
69d
Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 236 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 12.9%, win rate 80.1%, beat the market by 1.3%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Market-wide momentum baseline
Across 100,217 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.37%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.03 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.
Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).
Signals not active now
Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.
52-week adjusted-price high
PendingAdjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.2%, win rate 72.7%, beating the market by +8.0 pts on average.
Top-quintile 6-month momentum
PendingThe stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.
14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.1%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +0.9 pts on average.
Method and limits
- Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
- Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
- Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
- The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
- Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
- Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.