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MHK Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

148.58 +9.17 +6.58% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +2.3%
Open
143.77
High
151.25
Low
143.00
Prev close
139.41
Volume
2.5M
Amplitude
5.92%
P/E
23.5
P/B
1.0
Revenue YoY (TTM)
-0.5%
52W 92.99 151.25

Is Mohawk Industries, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 23.55 60th percentile Pricey
Price / book 0.98 31th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 7.6 76th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral FCF margin, TTM is Good, but Operating margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 4.45 52th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 4.84 46th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 5.71 53th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) -0.48 34th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -27.18 43th percentile Average
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 5.28 81th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 30.34 78th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 167,921,290 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 42.23 48th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Mohawk Industries, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Mohawk Industries, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) peers and tracking

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Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 88.37%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
10 historical occurrences (since 2019-06-14)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +1.11%, Excess -0.91%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

60-day: Win 44.4%, Sample 9, Median -0.64%, Excess -1.58%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +2.26%, Excess +0.24%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

120 days after: historical avg +9.31%

20-day +1%
60-day +4.84%
120-day +9.31%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Sample
9
9
9
Median
+1.11%
-0.64%
+2.26%
Excess
-0.91%
-1.58%
+0.24%
Beat mkt rate
44.4%
33.3%
44.4%

Over 9 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.31%, beat the market by 0.24 pts; win rate 55.6%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 5.43%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
16 historical occurrences (since 2015-05-07)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 78.6%, Sample 14, Median +6.15%, Excess +5.63%, Beat mkt rate 85.7%

60-day: Win 78.6%, Sample 14, Median +11.88%, Excess +7.97%, Beat mkt rate 78.6%

120-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 13, Median +3.23%, Excess +9.28%, Beat mkt rate 46.2%

120 days after: historical avg +18.47%

20-day +7.35%
60-day +12.53%
120-day +18.47%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
78.6%
78.6%
53.8%
Sample
14
14
13
Median
+6.15%
+11.88%
+3.23%
Excess
+5.63%
+7.97%
+9.28%
Beat mkt rate
85.7%
78.6%
46.2%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.47%, beat the market by 9.28 pts; win rate 53.8%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 35+33.8% +33.7% 100% +6.1%
20-40 269+9.4% +4.2% 61.7% -15.2%
40-60 268-1.6% -4.2% 41.8% -22%
60-80 290-14.4% -17.6% 25.9% -21.2%
80-100 You are here158-38.3% -39.3% 0% -29.2%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 23.55, placing it in the 88.8 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(20d)
-0.5%
Win rate 39.3% Excess -12.3%
229d
Now
-13.2%
Win rate 12.6% Excess -18.1%
167d
60-day momentum down
+17.1%
Win rate 69.6% Excess +1.8%
204d
-6%
Win rate 28.6% Excess -9.6%
262d
-14%
Win rate 15.1% Excess -12.6%
258d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 167 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 13.2%, win rate 12.6%, lagged the market by 18.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

10 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.96%, win rate 77.8%, beating the market by +8.45 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.