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MP MP Materials Corp.

Basic Materials

38.35 -1.22 -3.08% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +90.1%
Open
40.19
High
40.84
Low
38.13
Prev close
39.57
Volume
4.2M
Amplitude
6.85%
P/B
3.6
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+64.7%
52W 37.11 76.80

Is MP Materials Corp. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey, Quality: Weak.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Average; Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E -115.47 N/A
Price / book 3.6 76th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -7.16 30th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Weak ROE, TTM is Average; FCF margin, TTM is Lagging.
ROE, TTM (%) -3.1 36th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) -27.04 22th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) -126.57 13th percentile Lagging
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 64.66 89th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -45.6 37th percentile Average
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -16.68 32th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -32.52 25th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 215,913,198 93th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 57.83 62th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

MP Materials Corp. (MP) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From MP Materials Corp. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of MP Materials Corp. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like MP Materials Corp.

MP Materials Corp. (MP) peers and tracking

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MP Materials Corp. (MP) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 64.66%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 historical occurrences (since 2021-05-13)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +6.39%, Excess +2.05%, Beat mkt rate 55.6%

60-day: Win 25%, Sample 8, Median -10.76%, Excess -6.05%, Beat mkt rate 25%

120-day: Win 25%, Sample 8, Median -11.59%, Excess -10.63%, Beat mkt rate 25%

120 days after: historical avg -8.3%

20-day +2.64%
60-day -3.62%
120-day -8.3%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
55.6%
25%
25%
Sample
9
8
8
Median
+6.39%
-10.76%
-11.59%
Excess
+2.05%
-6.05%
-10.63%
Beat mkt rate
55.6%
25%
25%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 8.3%, lagged the market by 10.63 pts; win rate 25%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +16.41%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +17.67 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +18.6%, win rate 45.5%, beating the market by +19.31 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.57%, win rate 41.2%, beating the market by -6.81 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.